Football · Scotland League One · 07/11, 16:00
Prediction: Montrose vs East Fife
Team pages: Montrose · East Fife
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Montrose1.39
East Fife1.16
1X2
Montrose
Draw
East Fife
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Montrose
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
East Fife
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Montrose
4–2–0
East Fife
(6 last)
- East Fife1-2Montrose
- Montrose1-0East Fife
- East Fife2-3Montrose
- Montrose2-1East Fife
- East Fife1-1Montrose
- Montrose0-0East Fife
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Montrose 1537 · East Fife 1428
| Montrose | Draw | East Fife | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 29% | 30% |
| Market | 42% | 28% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Montrose (rating 1537 vs 1428).
- H2H favours Montrose: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Montrose | East Fife | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 2.4 | 2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 4.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Montrose 4–2–0 East Fife
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/26 Scotland League One | East Fife | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Montrose |
| 04/04/26 Scotland League One | Montrose | 1-0 HT 0-0 | East Fife |
| 31/01/26 Scotland League One | East Fife | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Montrose |
| 22/11/25 Scotland League One | Montrose | 2-1 HT 2-1 | East Fife |
| 20/09/25 Scotland League One | East Fife | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Montrose |
| 05/03/22 Scotland League One | Montrose | 0-0 HT 0-0 | East Fife |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 45 | 8 | 35 |
| 2 | Hamilton | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
| 3 | Montrose | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 20 |
| 4 | East Kilbride | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 18 |
| 5 | Peterhead | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 21 | 13 |
| 6 | Airdrieonians | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 13 |
| 7 | Queen of South | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 13 |
| 8 | Alloa | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 12 |
| 9 | East Fife | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 12 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Montrose | East Fife |
|---|---|---|
| Hamilton | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| East Kilbride | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Ross County | 0-5 L | 2-2 D |
| Airdrieonians | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Cove Rangers | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Queen of South | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Montrose
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 24/10 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 17/10 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 19/09 | East Fife Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 05/09 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
East Fife
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 24/10 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 17/10 | Alloa Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 22/08 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Montrose vs East Fife?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Montrose win (41%). Probabilities: Montrose 41%, draw 28%, East Fife 31%.
How many goals are expected in Montrose vs East Fife?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Montrose 1.39 · East Fife 1.16), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Montrose vs East Fife?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.