Prediction: Queen of South vs East Kilbride
Team pages: Queen of South · East Kilbride
- East Kilbride5-1Queen of South
- East Kilbride3-1Queen of South
- East Kilbride1-3Queen of South
- East Kilbride1-1Queen of South
- Queen of South0-0East Kilbride
| Queen of South | Draw | East Kilbride | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 21% | 55% |
| Market | 23% | 23% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours East Kilbride (rating 1452 vs 1529).
- H2H favours East Kilbride: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Queen of South | East Kilbride | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.8 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.4 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.2 | 3.4 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.1 | 5.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Queen of South 1–2–2 East Kilbride
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 Scotland League One | East Kilbride | 5-1 HT 3-1 | Queen of South |
| 12/08/25 Scotland League Challenge Cup | East Kilbride | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Queen of South |
| 23/07/24 Scotland League Cup | East Kilbride | 1-3 HT 1-3 | Queen of South |
| 24/06/23 Club Friendly List | East Kilbride | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Queen of South |
| 18/07/17 Scotland League Cup | Queen of South | 0-0 HT 0-0 | East Kilbride |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 45 | 8 | 35 |
| 2 | Hamilton | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
| 3 | Montrose | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 20 |
| 4 | East Kilbride | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 18 |
| 5 | Peterhead | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 21 | 13 |
| 6 | Airdrieonians | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 13 |
| 7 | Queen of South | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 13 |
| 8 | Alloa | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 12 |
| 9 | East Fife | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 12 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Queen of South | East Kilbride |
|---|---|---|
| East Fife | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Alloa | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Ross County | 1-7 L | 1-2 L |
| Peterhead | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Cove Rangers | 4-3 W | 3-0 W |
| Hamilton | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Airdrieonians | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Montrose | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: East Kilbride (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Queen of South
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/10 | Alloa Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 17/10 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-5 | 1-7 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 10/10 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 03/10 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
2-0 | 4-3 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
1-3 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 15/09 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-2 | 0-8 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
East Kilbride
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 03/10 | East Fife Scotland League One |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Alloa Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Queen of South vs East Kilbride?
According to our model, the most likely result is an East Kilbride win (55%). Probabilities: Queen of South 23%, draw 22%, East Kilbride 55%.
How many goals are expected in Queen of South vs East Kilbride?
The model expects 3.79 goals (Queen of South 1.49 · East Kilbride 2.3), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Queen of South vs East Kilbride?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.