Football · Scotland League One · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Airdrieonians vs Queen of South

Team pages: Airdrieonians · Queen of South

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.44Total

Airdrieonians2.16

Queen of South1.28

1X2

56% 23% 21%

Airdrieonians Draw Queen of South

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Airdrieonians 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWWWDLLLW

Queen of South 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLWWLWLL

Head-to-head

Airdrieonians 2–1–3 Queen of South (6 last)

Queen of South2-1Airdrieonians
Queen of South0-3Airdrieonians
Airdrieonians2-0Queen of South
Airdrieonians1-3Queen of South
Queen of South3-2Airdrieonians
Airdrieonians3-3Queen of South

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Airdrieonians 1553 · Queen of South 1454

	Airdrieonians	Draw	Queen of South
Our model	57%	22%	21%
Market	56%	23%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Airdrieonians (rating 1553 vs 1454).
H2H favours Queen of South: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Airdrieonians	Queen of South
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	1.2 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.5 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.9	1.6 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0	5.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.90

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:25 +4’	1.60	3.90	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Airdrieonians 2–1–3 Queen of South

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/09/26 Scotland League One	Queen of South	2-1 HT 0-1	Airdrieonians
07/09/24 Scotland League Challenge Cup	Queen of South	0-3 HT 0-1	Airdrieonians
27/07/24 Scotland League Cup	Airdrieonians	2-0 HT 1-0	Queen of South
29/04/23 Scotland League One	Airdrieonians	1-3 HT 0-2	Queen of South
04/03/23 Scotland League One	Queen of South	3-2 HT 2-0	Airdrieonians
08/10/22 Scotland League One	Airdrieonians	3-3 HT 2-2	Queen of South

Standings · Scotland League One

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ross County	14	12	2	0	49	9	38
2	Hamilton	14	10	3	1	27	10	33
3	East Kilbride	13	6	3	4	23	18	21
4	Montrose	14	6	2	6	19	23	20
5	Airdrieonians	14	4	4	6	13	22	16
6	East Fife	14	3	6	5	13	17	15
7	Peterhead	14	4	1	9	12	25	13
8	Queen of South	14	4	1	9	14	38	13
9	Alloa	14	3	3	8	15	19	12
10	Cove Rangers	13	3	3	7	14	18	12

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Airdrieonians	Queen of South
Alloa	3-2 W	1-0 W
Cove Rangers	0-1 L	4-3 W
Ross County	0-4 L	1-7 L
Hamilton	1-2 L	1-4 L
East Kilbride	2-2 D	1-2 L
Peterhead	2-1 W	1-0 W
East Fife	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Airdrieonians (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Airdrieonians

DLWWWDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Alloa Scotland League One	2-1	3-2	5	5	W
31/10	Cove Rangers Scotland League One	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
24/10	Ross County Scotland League One	0-3	0-4	2	2	L
17/10	Hamilton Scotland League One	0-1	1-2	4	7	L
10/10	East Kilbride Scotland League One	1-2	2-2	4	7	D
03/10	Montrose Scotland League One	0-0	1-0	1	7	W
19/09	Peterhead Scotland League One	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
12/09	Alloa Scotland League One	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
05/09	Queen of South Scotland League One	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
29/08	East Fife Scotland League One	0-0	0-0	5	10	D

Queen of South

WDLLWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	East Kilbride Scotland League One	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
31/10	East Fife Scotland League One	0-2	0-2	6	5	L
24/10	Alloa Scotland League One	1-0	1-0	4	8	W
17/10	Ross County Scotland League One	0-5	1-7	3	6	L
10/10	Peterhead Scotland League One	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
03/10	Cove Rangers Scotland League One	2-0	4-3	6	6	W
19/09	Hamilton Scotland League One	1-3	1-4	0	2	L
15/09	Ross County Scotland League One	0-2	0-8	2	4	L
12/09	East Fife Scotland League One	0-0	1-1	4	7	D
05/09	Airdrieonians Scotland League One	0-1	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Airdrieonians vs Queen of South?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Airdrieonians win (56%). Probabilities: Airdrieonians 56%, draw 23%, Queen of South 21%.

How many goals are expected in Airdrieonians vs Queen of South?

The model expects 3.44 goals (Airdrieonians 2.16 · Queen of South 1.28), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Airdrieonians vs Queen of South?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.