Football · Scotland League One · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: East Fife vs Peterhead

Team pages: East Fife · Peterhead

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

East Fife1.33

Peterhead1.18

1X2

40% 28% 32%

East Fife Draw Peterhead

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

East Fife 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Peterhead 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

East Fife 1–5 Peterhead (6 last)

Peterhead2-1East Fife
East Fife2-1Peterhead
Peterhead3-1East Fife
East Fife0-1Peterhead
Peterhead4-1East Fife
Peterhead1-0East Fife

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · East Fife 1452 · Peterhead 1482

	East Fife	Draw	Peterhead
Our model	39%	29%	32%
Market	40%	27%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Peterhead: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	East Fife	Peterhead
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	0.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4	1.6 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.1	5.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.30

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
23:43 +47’	2.25	3.30	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · East Fife 1–0–5 Peterhead

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Scotland League One	Peterhead	2-1 HT 0-0	East Fife
11/04/26 Scotland League One	East Fife	2-1 HT 1-0	Peterhead
21/02/26 Scotland League One	Peterhead	3-1 HT 2-1	East Fife
20/12/25 Scotland League One	East Fife	0-1 HT 0-1	Peterhead
02/08/25 Scotland League One	Peterhead	4-1 HT 3-1	East Fife
26/04/25 Scotland League Two	Peterhead	1-0 HT 1-0	East Fife

Standings · Scotland League One

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ross County	14	12	2	0	49	9	38
2	Hamilton	14	10	3	1	27	10	33
3	East Kilbride	13	6	3	4	23	18	21
4	Montrose	14	6	2	6	19	23	20
5	Airdrieonians	14	4	4	6	13	22	16
6	East Fife	14	3	6	5	13	17	15
7	Peterhead	14	4	1	9	12	25	13
8	Queen of South	14	4	1	9	14	38	13
9	Alloa	14	3	3	8	15	19	12
10	Cove Rangers	13	3	3	7	14	18	12

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	East Fife	Peterhead
Montrose	2-1 W	0-3 L
Queen of South	2-0 W	0-1 L
Hamilton	1-2 L	1-2 L
Alloa	0-3 L	2-1 W
Cove Rangers	1-1 D	2-0 W
East Kilbride	0-3 L	1-3 L
Ross County	2-2 D	1-4 L
Airdrieonians	0-0 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: East Fife (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

East Fife

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Montrose Scotland League One	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
31/10	Queen of South Scotland League One	2-0	2-0	1	5	W
24/10	Hamilton Scotland League One	0-1	1-2	1	1	L
17/10	Alloa Scotland League One	0-1	0-3	7	4	L
10/10	Cove Rangers Scotland League One	0-1	1-1	9	5	D
03/10	East Kilbride Scotland League One	0-1	0-3	2	5	L
19/09	Montrose Scotland League One	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
12/09	Queen of South Scotland League One	0-0	1-1	6	7	D
05/09	Ross County Scotland League One	0-0	2-2	1	6	D
29/08	Airdrieonians Scotland League One	0-0	0-0	3	10	D

Peterhead

DLLLLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Ross County Scotland League One	0-1	1-4	3	7	L
31/10	Alloa Scotland League One	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
24/10	Montrose Scotland League One	0-2	0-3	4	5	L
17/10	Cove Rangers Scotland League One	0-0	2-0	6	6	W
10/10	Queen of South Scotland League One	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
03/10	Hamilton Scotland League One	0-0	1-2	2	2	L
19/09	Airdrieonians Scotland League One	0-1	1-2	9	6	L
12/09	East Kilbride Scotland League One	0-1	1-3	2	6	L
05/09	Montrose Scotland League One	0-2	0-3	4	5	L
29/08	Alloa Scotland League One	0-1	1-1	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in East Fife vs Peterhead?

According to our model, the most likely result is a East Fife win (40%). Probabilities: East Fife 40%, draw 28%, Peterhead 32%.

How many goals are expected in East Fife vs Peterhead?

The model expects 2.5 goals (East Fife 1.33 · Peterhead 1.18), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in East Fife vs Peterhead?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.