Prediction: East Kilbride vs Alloa
Team pages: East Kilbride · Alloa
- Alloa1-2East Kilbride
| East Kilbride | Draw | Alloa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 24% | 22% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours East Kilbride (rating 1523 vs 1434).
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| East Kilbride | Alloa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/0/80% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.2 | 2.5 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0 | 4.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · East Kilbride 1–0–0 Alloa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/26 Scotland League One | Alloa | 1-2 HT 0-1 | East Kilbride |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 49 | 9 | 38 |
| 2 | Hamilton | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 21 |
| 4 | Montrose | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 20 |
| 5 | Airdrieonians | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 16 |
| 6 | East Fife | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 15 |
| 7 | Peterhead | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | 13 |
| 8 | Queen of South | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 38 | 13 |
| 9 | Alloa | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 19 | 12 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 18 | 12 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | East Kilbride | Alloa |
|---|---|---|
| Queen of South | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Ross County | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Airdrieonians | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| East Fife | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Peterhead | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Hamilton | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: East Kilbride (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
East Kilbride
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 31/10 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 03/10 | East Fife Scotland League One |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Alloa Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
Alloa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 31/10 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 24/10 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 17/10 | East Fife Scotland League One |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in East Kilbride vs Alloa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a East Kilbride win (54%). Probabilities: East Kilbride 54%, draw 24%, Alloa 22%.
How many goals are expected in East Kilbride vs Alloa?
The model expects 3.2 goals (East Kilbride 1.99 · Alloa 1.21), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in East Kilbride vs Alloa?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.