Football · Italy Serie A · 22/08, 18:30

Prediction: Udinese vs Como

Team pages: Udinese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.9Total
Udinese0.67
Como1.23
1X2
21% 29% 50%
Udinese Draw Como
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Udinese 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLLLLDLWWW
Como 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LLWDWWWWDL
Head-to-head
Udinese 1–1–2 Como (4 last)
  • Udinese0-0Como
  • Como1-0Udinese
  • Como4-1Udinese
  • Udinese1-0Como
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Udinese 1486 · Como 1545
UdineseDrawComo
Our model19%33%48%
Market22%26%51%
Estimated total (ours) 1.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Como (rating 1486 vs 1545).
  • H2H favours Como: 2-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

UdineseComo
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 11.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.60.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 3.53.7 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 0.12.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Udinese 112 Como

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/04/26
Italy Serie A
Udinese0-0
HT 0-0
Como
03/01/26
Italy Serie A
Como1-0
HT 1-0
Udinese
20/01/25
Italy Serie A
Como4-1
HT 2-0
Udinese
01/09/24
Italy Serie A
Udinese1-0
HT 1-0
Como

Standings · Italy Serie A

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 AC Milan 000 000
1 Monza 000 000
1 Fiorentina 000 000
1 Roma 000 000
1 Atalanta 000 000
1 Bologna 000 000
1 Cagliari 000 000
1 Como 000 000
1 Frosinone 000 000
1 Genoa 000 000
1 Inter Milan 000 000
1 Juventus 000 000
1 Lazio 000 000
1 Parma 000 000
1 Sassuolo 000 000
1 Napoli 000 000
1 Torino 000 000
1 Udinese 000 000
1 Lecce 000 000
1 Venezia 000 000

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUdineseComo
Napoli 0-1 L 0-0 D
Cremonese 0-1 L 4-1 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Como (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Udinese

WLLLLDLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Padova
Coppa Italia
1-0 1-0 03 W
08/08 Barcelona
Club Friendly List
1-0 1-0 W
08/08 Nottm Forest
Club Friendly List
0-0 1-0 W
02/08 Trabzonspor
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-1 31 L
01/08 Mainz
Elite Club Friendlies
3-1 3-3 60 D
28/07 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
World Club Friendlies
0-1 1-2 34 L
24/07 Swansea
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-2 40 L
24/05 Napoli
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-1 34 L
17/05 Cremonese
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-1 54 L
09/05 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-0 43 W

Como

LLWDWWWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Liverpool
Elite Club Friendlies
0-2 0-2 83 L
12/08 Arsenal
Elite Club Friendlies
1-1 1-1 20 D
31/07 Famalicao
Elite Club Friendlies
3-1 3-2 43 W
24/05 Cremonese
Italy Serie A
1-0 4-1 47 W
17/05 Parma
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-0 152 W
10/05 Verona
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-0 72 W
02/05 Napoli
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-0 32 D
26/04 Genoa
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-0 34 W
21/04 Inter Milan
Coppa Italia
1-0 2-3 71 L
17/04 Sassuolo
Italy Serie A
1-2 1-2 86 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Udinese vs Como?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Como win (50%). Probabilities: Udinese 21%, draw 29%, Como 50%.

How many goals are expected in Udinese vs Como?

The model expects 1.9 goals (Udinese 0.67 · Como 1.23), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Udinese vs Como?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.