Football · Italy Serie A · 30/08, 18:30

Prediction: Napoli vs Como

Team pages: Napoli · Como

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Napoli1.24
Como1
1X2
40% 31% 29%
Napoli Draw Como
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Napoli 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWDLWDLWWW
Como 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WDLLWDWWWD
Head-to-head
Napoli 1–3–1 Como (5 last)
  • Como0-0Napoli
  • Napoli1-1Como
  • Napoli0-0Como
  • Como2-1Napoli
  • Napoli3-1Como
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Napoli 1559 · Como 1542
NapoliDrawComo
Our model40%31%28%
Market40%31%29%
Estimated total (ours) 2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NapoliComo
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.61.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.40.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 63.8 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 0.14.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Napoli 131 Como

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
Italy Serie A
Como0-0
HT 0-0
Napoli
10/02/26
Coppa Italia
Napoli1-1
HT 0-1
Como
01/11/25
Italy Serie A
Napoli0-0
HT 0-0
Como
23/02/25
Italy Serie A
Como2-1
HT 1-1
Napoli
04/10/24
Italy Serie A
Napoli3-1
HT 1-1
Como

Standings · Italy Serie A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Inter Milan 1100 413
2 Napoli 1100 203
2 Lecce 1100 203
4 AC Milan 1100 213
4 Atalanta 1100 213
6 Cagliari 1100 103
6 Juventus 1100 103
8 Como 1010 111
8 Udinese 1010 111
10 Fiorentina 0000 000
10 Roma 0000 000
10 Bologna 0000 000
10 Lazio 0000 000
14 Sassuolo 1001 120
14 Torino 1001 120
16 Frosinone 1001 010
16 Parma 1001 010
18 Genoa 1001 020
18 Venezia 1001 020
20 Monza 1001 140

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNapoliComo
Genoa 2-0 W 2-0 W
Udinese 1-0 W 1-1 D
Pisa 3-0 W 5-0 W
Cremonese 4-0 W 4-1 W
Parma 1-1 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 0 L 4 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Napoli

WWDLWDLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Genoa
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-0 51 W
24/05 Udinese
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-0 34 W
17/05 Pisa
Italy Serie A
2-0 3-0 64 W
11/05 Bologna
Italy Serie A
1-2 2-3 75 L
02/05 Como
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-0 22 D
24/04 Cremonese
Italy Serie A
3-0 4-0 70 W
18/04 Lazio
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-2 124 L
12/04 Parma
Italy Serie A
0-1 1-1 71 D
06/04 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-0 42 W
20/03 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
1-0 1-0 74 W

Como

WDLLWDWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Udinese
Italy Serie A
0-1 1-1 103 D
24/05 Cremonese
Italy Serie A
1-0 4-1 47 W
17/05 Parma
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-0 152 W
10/05 Verona
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-0 72 W
02/05 Napoli
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-0 32 D
26/04 Genoa
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-0 34 W
17/04 Sassuolo
Italy Serie A
1-2 1-2 86 L
12/04 Inter Milan
Italy Serie A
2-1 3-4 110 L
06/04 Udinese
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-0 25 D
22/03 Pisa
Italy Serie A
2-0 5-0 72 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Napoli vs Como?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Napoli win (40%). Probabilities: Napoli 40%, draw 31%, Como 29%.

How many goals are expected in Napoli vs Como?

The model expects 2.24 goals (Napoli 1.24 · Como 1), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Napoli vs Como?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.