Prediction: Lazio vs Genoa
- Lazio3-2Genoa
- Genoa0-3Lazio
- Genoa0-2Lazio
- Lazio3-0Genoa
- Genoa0-1Lazio
- Lazio1-0Genoa
| Lazio | Draw | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 27% | 23% |
| Market | 49% | 29% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lazio (rating 1578 vs 1448).
- H2H favours Lazio: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lazio | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.5 | 1.9 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lazio 6–0–0 Genoa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/26 Italy Serie A | Lazio | 3-2 HT 0-0 | Genoa |
| 29/09/25 Italy Serie A | Genoa | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Lazio |
| 23/04/25 Italy Serie A | Genoa | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Lazio |
| 27/10/24 Italy Serie A | Lazio | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Genoa |
| 19/04/24 Italy Serie A | Genoa | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Lazio |
| 05/12/23 Coppa Italia | Lazio | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Genoa |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Napoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Lecce | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Atalanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Cagliari | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Como | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Udinese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Torino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Frosinone | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Parma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Genoa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Venezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Monza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lazio | Genoa |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Udinese | 3-3 D | 0-2 L |
| Napoli | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Fiorentina | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| AC Milan | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Lazio (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lazio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Cremonese Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 13/04 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 22/03 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 15/03 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
Genoa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/04 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 20/03 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lazio vs Genoa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lazio win (49%). Probabilities: Lazio 49%, draw 28%, Genoa 23%.
How many goals are expected in Lazio vs Genoa?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Lazio 1.64 · Genoa 1.06), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lazio vs Genoa?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.