Prediction: Parma vs Cagliari
- Parma1-1Cagliari
- Cagliari2-0Parma
- Cagliari2-1Parma
- Parma2-3Cagliari
- Parma0-0Cagliari
- Cagliari3-2Parma
| Parma | Draw | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 36% | 30% |
| Market | 37% | 30% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cagliari (rating 1472 vs 1554).
- H2H favours Cagliari: 4-2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Parma | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/80/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.1 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Parma 0–2–4 Cagliari
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/26 Italy Serie A | Parma | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cagliari |
| 13/09/25 Italy Serie A | Cagliari | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Parma |
| 09/02/25 Italy Serie A | Cagliari | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Parma |
| 30/09/24 Italy Serie A | Parma | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Cagliari |
| 03/06/23 Italy Serie B | Parma | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cagliari |
| 30/05/23 Italy Serie B | Cagliari | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Parma |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Monza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Frosinone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Inter Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Udinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Venezia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Parma | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Arezzo | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Cagliari (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Parma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Catania Coppa Italia |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Sampdoria Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | Iraklis Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 30/07 | Arezzo Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Sassuolo Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Cagliari
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Arezzo Coppa Italia |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Nice Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 02/08 | Union Berlin Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 28/07 | Modena Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 23/07 | Sampdoria Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 24/05 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Torino Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 27/04 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Parma vs Cagliari?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Parma win (36%). Probabilities: Parma 36%, draw 32%, Cagliari 32%.
How many goals are expected in Parma vs Cagliari?
The model expects 1.79 goals (Parma 0.93 · Cagliari 0.86), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Parma vs Cagliari?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.