Prediction: Inter Milan vs Monza
Team pages: Monza
- Monza2-2Inter Milan
- Inter Milan3-2Monza
- Monza1-1Inter Milan
- Monza1-5Inter Milan
- Inter Milan2-0Monza
- Inter Milan0-1Monza
| Inter Milan | Draw | Monza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 18% | 7% |
| Market | 77% | 16% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inter Milan (rating 1595 vs 1555).
- H2H favours Inter Milan: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Inter Milan | Monza | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.8 | 2.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.9 | 2.3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Milan 3–2–1 Monza
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/25 Elite Club Friendlies | Monza | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Inter Milan |
| 08/03/25 Italy Serie A | Inter Milan | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Monza |
| 15/09/24 Italy Serie A | Monza | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Inter Milan |
| 13/01/24 Italy Serie A | Monza | 1-5 HT 0-2 | Inter Milan |
| 19/08/23 Italy Serie A | Inter Milan | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Monza |
| 15/04/23 Italy Serie A | Inter Milan | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Monza |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Monza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Frosinone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Inter Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Udinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Venezia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inter Milan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Real Betis Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Juventus Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 05/08 | AC Milan Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Man City Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | Karlsruher SC Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Verona Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 13/05 | Lazio Coppa Italia |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Parma Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
Monza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Avellino Coppa Italia |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 07/08 | Padova Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 30/07 | Aris Salonika Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 24/07 | Galatasaray Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Pro Vercelli Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 29/05 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 19/05 | Juve Stabia Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Juve Stabia Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 08/05 | Empoli Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inter Milan vs Monza?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Inter Milan win (76%). Probabilities: Inter Milan 76%, draw 16%, Monza 7%.
How many goals are expected in Inter Milan vs Monza?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Inter Milan 2.28 · Monza 0.57), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Inter Milan vs Monza?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.