Prediction: Genoa vs Napoli
Team pages: Genoa
- Genoa2-3Napoli
- Napoli2-1Genoa
- Napoli2-2Genoa
- Genoa1-2Napoli
- Napoli1-1Genoa
- Genoa2-2Napoli
| Genoa | Draw | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 27% | 52% |
| Market | 21% | 29% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Napoli (rating 1473 vs 1560).
- H2H favours Napoli: 3-3-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Genoa | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.8 | 2.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 70/10/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.3 | 2.7 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 1.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Genoa 0–3–3 Napoli
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Italy Serie A | Genoa | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Napoli |
| 05/10/25 Italy Serie A | Napoli | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Genoa |
| 11/05/25 Italy Serie A | Napoli | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Genoa |
| 21/12/24 Italy Serie A | Genoa | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Napoli |
| 17/02/24 Italy Serie A | Napoli | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Genoa |
| 16/09/23 Italy Serie A | Genoa | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Napoli |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Monza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Frosinone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Inter Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Udinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Venezia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Genoa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Ascoli Coppa Italia |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Deportivo La Coruna Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 04/08 | Bournemouth Club Friendly List |
1-4 | 1-10 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Leicester Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Vicenza Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 19/07 | Trento Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
Napoli
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Aris Salonika Elite Club Friendlies |
2-1 | 6-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | Celta Vigo Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 05/08 | Osasuna Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Carrarese Elite Club Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 22/07 | Arezzo Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 24/04 | Cremonese Italy Serie A |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Genoa vs Napoli?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Napoli win (51%). Probabilities: Genoa 21%, draw 28%, Napoli 51%.
How many goals are expected in Genoa vs Napoli?
The model expects 2.67 goals (Genoa 1.01 · Napoli 1.66), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Genoa vs Napoli?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.