Prediction: Bologna vs Lazio
Team pages: Lazio
- Bologna0-2Lazio
- Bologna1-1Lazio
- Lazio1-1Bologna
- Bologna5-0Lazio
- Lazio3-0Bologna
- Lazio1-2Bologna
| Bologna | Draw | Lazio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 29% | 27% |
| Market | 43% | 30% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lazio (rating 1486 vs 1563).
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bologna | Lazio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4 | 1.5 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bologna 2–2–2 Lazio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Italy Serie A | Bologna | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Lazio |
| 11/02/26 Coppa Italia | Bologna | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Lazio |
| 07/12/25 Italy Serie A | Lazio | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Bologna |
| 16/03/25 Italy Serie A | Bologna | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Lazio |
| 24/11/24 Italy Serie A | Lazio | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Bologna |
| 18/02/24 Italy Serie A | Lazio | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Bologna |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Napoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Como | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 3 | Udinese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Venezia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Genoa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Monza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bologna | Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan | 3-3 D | 0-3 L |
| Napoli | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Roma | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Cremonese | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bologna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 11/05 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 12/04 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Cremonese Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 15/03 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Lazio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Cremonese Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 13/04 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 22/03 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 15/03 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bologna vs Lazio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bologna win (43%). Probabilities: Bologna 43%, draw 30%, Lazio 27%.
How many goals are expected in Bologna vs Lazio?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Bologna 1.39 · Lazio 1.06), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Bologna vs Lazio?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.