Prediction: Atalanta vs Sassuolo
Team pages: Sassuolo
- Sassuolo2-1Atalanta
- Atalanta0-3Sassuolo
- Atalanta3-0Sassuolo
- Atalanta3-1Sassuolo
- Sassuolo0-2Atalanta
- Sassuolo1-0Atalanta
| Atalanta | Draw | Sassuolo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 24% | 15% |
| Market | 62% | 23% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atalanta (rating 1534 vs 1492).
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atalanta | Sassuolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.8 | 1.6 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atalanta 3–0–3 Sassuolo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Italy Serie A | Sassuolo | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Atalanta |
| 09/11/25 Italy Serie A | Atalanta | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Sassuolo |
| 17/02/24 Italy Serie A | Atalanta | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Sassuolo |
| 03/01/24 Coppa Italia | Atalanta | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Sassuolo |
| 20/08/23 Italy Serie A | Sassuolo | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Atalanta |
| 04/02/23 Italy Serie A | Sassuolo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Atalanta |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Napoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Como | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 3 | Udinese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Venezia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Genoa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Monza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atalanta | Sassuolo |
|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Bologna | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| AC Milan | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Genoa | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Cagliari | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Juventus | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Lecce | 3-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sassuolo (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atalanta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 27/04 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Roma Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | Verona Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 14/03 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Sassuolo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Torino Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 26/04 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 17/04 | Como Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 04/04 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 15/03 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atalanta vs Sassuolo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atalanta win (61%). Probabilities: Atalanta 61%, draw 23%, Sassuolo 15%.
How many goals are expected in Atalanta vs Sassuolo?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Atalanta 1.91 · Sassuolo 0.85), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Atalanta vs Sassuolo?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.