Football · Scotland Premiership · 09/08, 17:00

Prediction: Rangers vs Hibernian

Team pages: Rangers · Hibernian

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
Rangers1.92
Hibernian1.04
1X2
57% 23% 19%
Rangers Draw Hibernian
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Rangers 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WWLLLLWWDD
Hibernian 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LWWLLWWLWL
Head-to-head
Rangers 3–2–1 Hibernian (6 last)
  • Rangers1-2Hibernian
  • Hibernian0-0Rangers
  • Rangers1-0Hibernian
  • Hibernian0-1Rangers
  • Rangers2-0Hibernian
  • Hibernian2-2Rangers
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rangers 1529 · Hibernian 1479
RangersDrawHibernian
Our model57%24%19%
Market58%23%20%
Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rangers (rating 1529 vs 1479).
  • H2H favours Rangers: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

RangersHibernian
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 1.91.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 1.11.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 6.21.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 03.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rangers 321 Hibernian

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/05/26
Scotland Premiership
Rangers1-2
HT 1-1
Hibernian
01/02/26
Scotland Premiership
Hibernian0-0
HT 0-0
Rangers
15/12/25
Scotland Premiership
Rangers1-0
HT 1-0
Hibernian
29/10/25
Scotland Premiership
Hibernian0-1
HT 0-1
Rangers
20/09/25
Scotland League Cup
Rangers2-0
HT 2-0
Hibernian
17/05/25
Scotland Premiership
Hibernian2-2
HT 1-1
Rangers

Standings · Scotland Premiership

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 St Mirren 1100 203
2 St Johnstone 1100 433
3 Aberdeen 1100 213
3 Motherwell 1100 213
5 Dundee Utd 1010 111
5 Rangers 1010 111
7 Celtic 0000 000
7 Dundee 0000 000
9 Kilmarnock 1001 340
10 Hearts 1001 120
10 Hibernian 1001 120
12 Falkirk 1001 020

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRangersHibernian
Falkirk 5-2 W 3-1 W
Celtic 1-3 L 1-2 L
Motherwell 2-3 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rangers

WWLLLLWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 Dundee Utd
Scotland Premiership
0-1 1-1 104 D
26/07 West Ham
Elite Club Friendlies
0-0 0-0 40 D
22/07 St Etienne
Elite Club Friendlies
1-1 2-1 41 W
16/05 Falkirk
Scotland Premiership
3-2 5-2 43 W
13/05 Hibernian
Scotland Premiership
1-1 1-2 94 L
10/05 Celtic
Scotland Premiership
1-1 1-3 78 L
04/05 Hearts
Scotland Premiership
1-0 1-2 63 L
26/04 Motherwell
Scotland Premiership
0-2 2-3 72 L
12/04 Falkirk
Scotland Premiership
1-2 6-3 16 W
04/04 Dundee Utd
Scotland Premiership
2-1 4-2 103 W

Hibernian

LWWLLWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Motherwell
Scotland Premiership
0-1 1-2 94 L
30/07 Malisheva
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
3-0 4-1 74 W
23/07 Malisheva
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-1 0-2 63 L
18/07 Brondby
Europe Friendlies
2-1 2-1 51 W
04/07 Cliftonville
Club Friendly List
3-1 5-1 W
30/06 Shamrock Rovers
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-1 32 L
16/05 Motherwell
Scotland Premiership
0-1 0-1 710 L
13/05 Rangers
Scotland Premiership
1-1 2-1 34 W
09/05 Falkirk
Scotland Premiership
3-0 3-1 51 W
03/05 Celtic
Scotland Premiership
1-1 1-2 07 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rangers vs Hibernian?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rangers win (57%). Probabilities: Rangers 57%, draw 23%, Hibernian 19%.

How many goals are expected in Rangers vs Hibernian?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Rangers 1.92 · Hibernian 1.04), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Rangers vs Hibernian?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.