Prediction: Kilmarnock vs Celtic
Team pages: Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock2-3Celtic
- Celtic4-0Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock1-2Celtic
- Celtic5-1Kilmarnock
- Celtic2-1Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock0-2Celtic
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Celtic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 18% | 71% |
| Market | 11% | 18% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Celtic: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kilmarnock | Celtic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.8 | 2.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.7 | 2.8 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kilmarnock 0–0–6 Celtic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Scotland Premiership | Kilmarnock | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Celtic |
| 09/11/25 Scotland Premiership | Celtic | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Kilmarnock |
| 14/09/25 Scotland Premiership | Kilmarnock | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Celtic |
| 12/04/25 Scotland Premiership | Celtic | 5-1 HT 4-1 | Kilmarnock |
| 18/01/25 Scotland FA Cup | Celtic | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Kilmarnock |
| 10/11/24 Scotland Premiership | Kilmarnock | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Celtic |
Standings · Scotland Premiership
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Mirren | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | St Johnstone | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Dundee Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Celtic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Dundee | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 | Hearts | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Hibernian | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Falkirk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kilmarnock
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | St Johnstone Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Peterhead Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 21/07 | Hamilton Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Elgin Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 14/07 | Raith Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | Linfield UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 01/07 | Glentoran UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Livingston Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Celtic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | AC Milan Elite Club Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Middlesbrough UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 14/07 | Sporting Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 07/07 | Shelbourne Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 23/05 | Dunfermline Scotland FA Cup |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 9 | W |
| 13/05 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 03/05 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kilmarnock vs Celtic?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Celtic win (71%). Probabilities: Kilmarnock 11%, draw 18%, Celtic 71%.
How many goals are expected in Kilmarnock vs Celtic?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Kilmarnock 0.87 · Celtic 2.45), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Kilmarnock vs Celtic?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.