Football · Scotland Premiership · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: St Mirren vs St Johnstone
Team pages: St Mirren · St Johnstone
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
St Mirren1.6
St Johnstone1.3
1X2
St Mirren
Draw
St Johnstone
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
St Mirren
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
St Johnstone
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
St Mirren
4–2
St Johnstone
(6 last)
- St Mirren0-1St Johnstone
- St Johnstone2-3St Mirren
- St Mirren3-1St Johnstone
- St Mirren2-0St Johnstone
- St Johnstone1-0St Mirren
- St Mirren4-0St Johnstone
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · St Mirren 1585 · St Johnstone 1593
| St Mirren | Draw | St Johnstone | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 27% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours St Mirren: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 14.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| St Mirren | St Johnstone | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.8 | 2.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 1.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.1 | 4.8 / 8.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · St Mirren 4–0–2 St Johnstone
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/25 Scotland Premiership | St Mirren | 0-1 HT 0-0 | St Johnstone |
| 14/12/24 Scotland Premiership | St Johnstone | 2-3 HT 0-1 | St Mirren |
| 30/10/24 Scotland Premiership | St Mirren | 3-1 HT 1-1 | St Johnstone |
| 24/02/24 Scotland Premiership | St Mirren | 2-0 HT 1-0 | St Johnstone |
| 06/12/23 Scotland Premiership | St Johnstone | 1-0 HT 0-0 | St Mirren |
| 28/10/23 Scotland Premiership | St Mirren | 4-0 HT 1-0 | St Johnstone |
Standings · Scotland Premiership
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Mirren | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Aberdeen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Dundee Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 3 | Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Celtic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Dundee | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | St Johnstone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Hearts | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Falkirk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
St Mirren
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Dunfermline Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 21/07 | East Kilbride Scotland League Cup |
0-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 18/07 | Cove Rangers Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Dumbarton Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Arbroath UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 25/05 | Partick Scotland Premiership Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Partick Scotland Premiership Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 12/05 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
St Johnstone
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | East Fife Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 21/07 | Inverness CT Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Morton Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 14/07 | Linlithgow Rose Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Cove Rangers UK Friendlies |
3-1 | 4-2 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Montrose Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/06 | Forfar UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 01/05 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Raith Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in St Mirren vs St Johnstone?
According to our model, the most likely result is a St Mirren win (43%). Probabilities: St Mirren 43%, draw 27%, St Johnstone 30%.
How many goals are expected in St Mirren vs St Johnstone?
The model expects 2.91 goals (St Mirren 1.6 · St Johnstone 1.3), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in St Mirren vs St Johnstone?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.