Football · Scotland Premiership · 03/08, 20:30

Prediction: Celtic vs Dundee

Team pages: Dundee

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.36Total
Celtic2.59
Dundee0.76
1X2
77% 14% 9%
Celtic Draw Dundee
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Celtic 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWDLDD
Dundee 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLWLDWWLDW
Head-to-head
Celtic 3–2–1 Dundee (6 last)
  • Dundee1-2Celtic
  • Celtic1-1Dundee
  • Celtic1-0Dundee
  • Dundee2-0Celtic
  • Celtic6-0Dundee
  • Dundee3-3Celtic
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Celtic 1560 · Dundee 1502
CelticDrawDundee
Our model76%16%8%
Market78%12%10%
Estimated total (ours) 3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Celtic (rating 1560 vs 1502).
  • H2H favours Celtic: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CelticDundee
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 1.52.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.60.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.83.1 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.11.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Celtic 321 Dundee

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/04/26
Scotland Premiership
Dundee1-2
HT 0-1
Celtic
07/02/26
Scotland FA Cup
Celtic1-1
HT 0-0
Dundee
03/12/25
Scotland Premiership
Celtic1-0
HT 1-0
Dundee
19/10/25
Scotland Premiership
Dundee2-0
HT 2-0
Celtic
05/02/25
Scotland Premiership
Celtic6-0
HT 2-0
Dundee
14/01/25
Scotland Premiership
Dundee3-3
HT 1-1
Celtic

Standings · Scotland Premiership

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Aberdeen 000 000
1 Celtic 000 000
1 Dundee 000 000
1 Dundee Utd 000 000
1 Falkirk 000 000
1 Rangers 000 000
1 Hearts 000 000
1 Hibernian 000 000
1 Kilmarnock 000 000
1 Motherwell 000 000
1 St Johnstone 000 000
1 St Mirren 000 000

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Celtic

WWWWWWDLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 AC Milan
Elite Club Friendlies
2-0 2-2 31 D
18/07 Middlesbrough
UK Friendlies
1-1 1-1 60 D
14/07 Sporting
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-4 32 L
07/07 Shelbourne
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-1 80 D
23/05 Dunfermline
Scotland FA Cup
2-0 3-1 32 W
16/05 Hearts
Scotland Premiership
1-1 3-1 99 W
13/05 Motherwell
Scotland Premiership
1-1 3-2 33 W
10/05 Rangers
Scotland Premiership
1-1 3-1 18 W
03/05 Hibernian
Scotland Premiership
1-1 2-1 137 W
25/04 Falkirk
Scotland Premiership
2-0 3-1 95 W

Dundee

WLWLDWWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Clyde
Scotland League Cup
0-0 4-0 70 W
21/07 Ross County
Scotland League Cup
1-0 1-1 36 D
18/07 Everton
Elite Club Friendlies
0-1 0-4 10 L
14/07 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Cup
0-0 5-0 50 W
11/07 Airdrieonians
Scotland League Cup
1-2 4-2 162 W
08/07 Brechin
Club Friendly List
1-1 1-1 D
04/07 Maccabi Haifa
Europe Friendlies
0-2 1-2 53 L
02/07 Paksi
Club Friendly List
1-0 2-1 W
27/06 Livingston
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-2 50 L
17/05 Aberdeen
Scotland Premiership
1-2 3-2 70 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Celtic vs Dundee?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Celtic win (77%). Probabilities: Celtic 77%, draw 14%, Dundee 9%.

How many goals are expected in Celtic vs Dundee?

The model expects 3.36 goals (Celtic 2.59 · Dundee 0.76), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Celtic vs Dundee?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.