Prediction: Celtic vs Hearts
- Celtic3-1Hearts
- Hearts2-2Celtic
- Celtic1-2Hearts
- Hearts3-1Celtic
- Celtic3-0Hearts
- Hearts1-4Celtic
| Celtic | Draw | Hearts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| Market | 59% | 22% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Celtic: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 15.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Celtic | Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.7 | 2.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 1.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.4 / 8.7 | 4 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Celtic 3–1–2 Hearts
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Scotland Premiership | Celtic | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Hearts |
| 25/01/26 Scotland Premiership | Hearts | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Celtic |
| 07/12/25 Scotland Premiership | Celtic | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Hearts |
| 26/10/25 Scotland Premiership | Hearts | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Celtic |
| 29/03/25 Scotland Premiership | Celtic | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Hearts |
| 23/11/24 Scotland Premiership | Hearts | 1-4 HT 0-0 | Celtic |
Standings · Scotland Premiership
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 21 |
| 2 | Rangers | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 19 |
| 3 | Hearts | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Dundee | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | St Johnstone | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 7 | St Mirren | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 10 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
| 10 | Hibernian | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Celtic | Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| St Johnstone | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| St Mirren | 2-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Aberdeen | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Falkirk | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Kilmarnock | 5-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Dundee | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Celtic (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Celtic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 09/09 | St Johnstone Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
3-0 | 3-0 | 15 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
3-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 03/08 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 9 | W |
| 13/05 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
Hearts
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 15/09 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 06/09 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 6 | W |
| 03/09 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | St Johnstone Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 09/08 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 13/05 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Celtic vs Hearts?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Celtic win (59%). Probabilities: Celtic 59%, draw 22%, Hearts 19%.
How many goals are expected in Celtic vs Hearts?
The model expects 3.41 goals (Celtic 2.21 · Hearts 1.2), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Celtic vs Hearts?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.