Football · Scotland Premiership · 17/10, 21:00

Prediction: Dundee vs Rangers

Team pages: Dundee · Rangers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

Dundee0.81

Rangers2.1

1X2

13% 20% 67%

Dundee Draw Rangers

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

0-2 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Dundee 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLDLWW

Rangers 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWDLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Dundee 0–2–4 Rangers (6 last)

Rangers3-0Dundee
Dundee0-3Rangers
Rangers1-1Dundee
Dundee3-4Rangers
Dundee1-1Rangers
Rangers1-0Dundee

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dundee 1495 · Rangers 1613

	Dundee	Draw	Rangers
Our model	12%	21%	66%
Market	13%	20%	67%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rangers (rating 1495 vs 1613).
H2H favours Rangers: 4-2-0.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dundee	Rangers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	1.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5	3.7 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

17.00

X4.75

21.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)2.02

2 (-1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.00 → 7.00	Pinn 8.08 ★
X	4.75 → 4.75	Pinn 5.37
2	1.38 → 1.38	Bet365 1.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
01:24 +4’	7.00	4.75	1.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:40 +228’	8.77	5.66	1.30
09:32 +5’	7.58▼	5.20▼	1.36▲
09:46 +54’	8.08▲	5.37▲	1.34▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dundee 0–2–4 Rangers

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/01/26 Scotland Premiership	Rangers	3-0 HT 0-0	Dundee
09/11/25 Scotland Premiership	Dundee	0-3 HT 0-2	Rangers
09/08/25 Scotland Premiership	Rangers	1-1 HT 0-0	Dundee
29/03/25 Scotland Premiership	Dundee	3-4 HT 2-1	Rangers
09/01/25 Scotland Premiership	Dundee	1-1 HT 1-1	Rangers
21/12/24 Scotland Premiership	Rangers	1-0 HT 0-0	Dundee

Standings · Scotland Premiership

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Celtic	8	7	0	1	16	4	21
2	Rangers	8	6	1	1	11	5	19
3	Hearts	8	5	1	2	19	8	16
4	Dundee	8	4	1	3	11	8	13
5	St Johnstone	8	3	2	3	10	10	11
6	Dundee Utd	8	3	2	3	10	11	11
7	St Mirren	8	3	1	4	8	14	10
8	Aberdeen	8	2	2	4	7	9	8
9	Motherwell	8	2	2	4	9	13	8
10	Hibernian	8	2	1	5	8	12	7
11	Falkirk	8	1	3	4	7	11	6
12	Kilmarnock	8	1	2	5	7	18	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dundee	Rangers
Falkirk	2-1 W	2-1 W
Motherwell	2-1 W	1-0 W
Hibernian	1-2 L	1-2 L
Dundee Utd	2-0 W	1-1 D
Aberdeen	2-0 W	1-0 W
Celtic	0-1 L	1-0 W
Kilmarnock	1-3 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dundee

LWLWWLDLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Falkirk Scotland Premiership	0-1	2-1	10	0	W
19/09	Motherwell Scotland Premiership	2-1	2-1	9	2	W
06/09	Hearts Scotland Premiership	1-0	1-2	2	6	L
02/09	St Johnstone Scotland Premiership	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
30/08	Hibernian Scotland Premiership	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
22/08	Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership	1-0	2-0	6	7	W
08/08	Aberdeen Scotland Premiership	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
03/08	Celtic Scotland Premiership	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
17/05	Aberdeen Scotland Premiership	1-2	3-2	7	0	W
12/05	Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership	0-0	1-3	2	7	L

Rangers

LWDLWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership	3-0	3-1	7	2	W
20/09	Celtic Scotland Premiership	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
09/09	St Mirren Scotland Premiership	0-0	1-0	12	2	W
05/09	Motherwell Scotland Premiership	1-0	1-0	7	0	W
02/09	Falkirk Scotland Premiership	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
30/08	Aberdeen Scotland Premiership	0-0	1-0	6	9	W
09/08	Hibernian Scotland Premiership	0-1	1-2	7	2	L
31/07	Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership	0-1	1-1	10	4	D
16/05	Falkirk Scotland Premiership	3-2	5-2	4	3	W
13/05	Hibernian Scotland Premiership	1-1	1-2	9	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dundee vs Rangers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rangers win (67%). Probabilities: Dundee 13%, draw 20%, Rangers 67%.

How many goals are expected in Dundee vs Rangers?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Dundee 0.81 · Rangers 2.1), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dundee vs Rangers?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.