Prediction: Motherwell vs Hearts
Team pages: Motherwell · Hearts
- Motherwell1-1Hearts
- Hearts3-1Motherwell
- Motherwell0-0Hearts
- Hearts3-3Motherwell
- Hearts3-0Motherwell
- Motherwell0-0Hearts
| Motherwell | Draw | Hearts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 26% | 44% |
| Market | 30% | 26% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hearts (rating 1434 vs 1545).
- H2H favours Hearts: 2-4-0.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Motherwell | Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.6 | 2.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.8 | 3.9 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Motherwell 0–4–2 Hearts
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Scotland Premiership | Motherwell | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Hearts |
| 11/04/26 Scotland Premiership | Hearts | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Motherwell |
| 29/11/25 Scotland Premiership | Motherwell | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hearts |
| 23/08/25 Scotland Premiership | Hearts | 3-3 HT 0-1 | Motherwell |
| 10/05/25 Scotland Premiership | Hearts | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Motherwell |
| 12/04/25 Scotland Premiership | Motherwell | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hearts |
Standings · Scotland Premiership
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 24 |
| 2 | Rangers | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Hearts | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 16 |
| 4 | Dundee | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 14 |
| 5 | St Johnstone | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| 8 | St Mirren | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 10 |
| 9 | Falkirk | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 8 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Motherwell | Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Celtic | 0-2 L | 1-7 L |
| Dundee | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Aberdeen | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Dundee Utd | 3-0 W | 4-0 W |
| St Mirren | 3-3 D | 5-0 W |
| Falkirk | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Hibernian | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Hearts (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Motherwell
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 11/10 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 15/09 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 02/09 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
2-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
Hearts
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
1-5 | 1-7 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 15/09 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 06/09 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 6 | W |
| 03/09 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | St Johnstone Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 09/08 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Motherwell vs Hearts?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hearts win (44%). Probabilities: Motherwell 30%, draw 26%, Hearts 44%.
How many goals are expected in Motherwell vs Hearts?
The model expects 3.07 goals (Motherwell 1.38 · Hearts 1.69), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Motherwell vs Hearts?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.