Prediction: Falkirk vs Kilmarnock
Team pages: Falkirk · Kilmarnock
- Falkirk5-1Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock0-1Falkirk
- Falkirk3-1Kilmarnock
- Falkirk1-4Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock3-1Falkirk
- Kilmarnock4-0Falkirk
| Falkirk | Draw | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Falkirk | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.6 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Falkirk 3–0–3 Kilmarnock
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Scotland Premiership | Falkirk | 5-1 HT 3-1 | Kilmarnock |
| 20/12/25 Scotland Premiership | Kilmarnock | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Falkirk |
| 01/11/25 Scotland Premiership | Falkirk | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Kilmarnock |
| 24/06/22 Club Friendly List | Falkirk | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Kilmarnock |
| 04/09/21 Scotland League Challenge Cup | Kilmarnock | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Falkirk |
| 22/05/16 Scotland Premiership Play-Offs | Kilmarnock | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Falkirk |
Standings · Scotland Premiership
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 21 |
| 2 | Rangers | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 19 |
| 3 | Hearts | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Dundee | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | St Johnstone | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| 8 | St Mirren | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 10 |
| 9 | Falkirk | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 8 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Falkirk | Kilmarnock |
|---|---|---|
| Hibernian | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| St Johnstone | 1-1 D | 3-4 L |
| Hearts | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Dundee Utd | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Rangers | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Celtic | 1-2 L | 1-5 L |
| Motherwell | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| St Mirren | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Falkirk (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Falkirk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 19/09 | St Johnstone Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 15/09 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 02/09 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
2-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | L |
Kilmarnock
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 10/10 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 15/09 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 02/09 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | St Johnstone Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Livingston Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Falkirk win (51%). Probabilities: Falkirk 51%, draw 25%, Kilmarnock 25%.
How many goals are expected in Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Falkirk 1.92 · Kilmarnock 1.31), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.