Prediction: Falkirk vs Celtic
- Celtic2-1Falkirk
- Celtic3-1Falkirk
- Celtic2-0Falkirk
- Falkirk0-1Celtic
- Celtic4-0Falkirk
- Celtic4-1Falkirk
| Falkirk | Draw | Celtic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 20% | 69% |
| Market | 12% | 17% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Celtic (rating 1470 vs 1574).
- H2H favours Celtic: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Falkirk | Celtic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 2.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 1.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.8 | 4.5 / 8.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Falkirk 0–0–6 Celtic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/26 Scotland Premiership | Celtic | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Falkirk |
| 25/04/26 Scotland Premiership | Celtic | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Falkirk |
| 01/02/26 Scotland Premiership | Celtic | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Falkirk |
| 14/01/26 Scotland Premiership | Falkirk | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Celtic |
| 29/10/25 Scotland Premiership | Celtic | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Falkirk |
| 15/08/25 Scotland League Cup | Celtic | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Falkirk |
Standings · Scotland Premiership
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 8 | 28 |
| 2 | Rangers | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Hearts | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 20 |
| 4 | Dundee | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 17 |
| 5 | Dundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 15 |
| 7 | St Mirren | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 14 |
| 8 | St Johnstone | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 13 |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 11 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 9 |
| 11 | Hibernian | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 8 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Falkirk | Celtic |
|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock | 3-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Hibernian | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Dundee | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| St Johnstone | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Hearts | 2-1 W | 7-1 W |
| Rangers | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Motherwell | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| St Mirren | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 7 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Celtic (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Falkirk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 19/09 | St Johnstone Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 15/09 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 02/09 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
Celtic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 18/10 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
5-1 | 7-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 09/09 | St Johnstone Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
3-0 | 3-0 | 15 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
3-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 03/08 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Falkirk vs Celtic?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Celtic win (70%). Probabilities: Falkirk 12%, draw 18%, Celtic 70%.
How many goals are expected in Falkirk vs Celtic?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Falkirk 0.75 · Celtic 2.19), with a 58% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Falkirk vs Celtic?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.