Football · Scotland League One · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: Peterhead vs Montrose

Team pages: Peterhead · Montrose

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Peterhead1.39
Montrose1.02
1X2
45% 28% 27%
Peterhead Draw Montrose
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Peterhead 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
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Montrose 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Peterhead 0–3–3 Montrose (6 last)
  • Peterhead1-1Montrose
  • Montrose1-1Peterhead
  • Peterhead1-1Montrose
  • Montrose2-1Peterhead
  • Peterhead2-3Montrose
  • Montrose2-1Peterhead
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Peterhead 1494 · Montrose 1490
PeterheadDrawMontrose
Our model44%30%26%
Market45%27%28%
Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Montrose: 3-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PeterheadMontrose
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.61.1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.40.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.92.1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 03.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Peterhead 033 Montrose

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/03/26
Scotland League One
Peterhead1-1
HT 0-1
Montrose
10/02/26
Scotland League One
Montrose1-1
HT 1-0
Peterhead
15/11/25
Scotland League One
Peterhead1-1
HT 0-0
Montrose
30/08/25
Scotland League One
Montrose2-1
HT 2-1
Peterhead
30/11/24
Scotland FA Cup
Peterhead2-3
HT 1-2
Montrose
15/04/23
Scotland League One
Montrose2-1
HT 1-0
Peterhead

Standings · Scotland League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Hamilton 5410 11013
2 Ross County 4400 10212
3 Alloa 5221 628
4 East Kilbride 5212 997
5 Peterhead 5212 467
6 East Fife 5131 326
7 Montrose 5203 6116
8 Cove Rangers 5113 364
9 Airdrieonians 5032 283
10 Queen of South 4004 2100

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPeterheadMontrose
Alloa 1-1 D 0-3 L
Cove Rangers 0-3 L 2-3 L
Queen of South 1-0 W 2-1 W
Ross County 0-1 L 1-2 L
Kelty Hearts 0-2 L 1-3 L
Hamilton 1-3 L 0-5 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 4 L 1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Peterhead (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Peterhead

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Alloa
Scotland League One
0-1 1-1 45 D
22/08 Cove Rangers
Scotland League One
0-0 0-3 44 L
15/08 East Fife
Scotland League One
0-0 2-1 55 W
08/08 Queen of South
Scotland League One
1-0 1-0 22 W
01/08 Ross County
Scotland League One
0-0 0-1 36 L
02/05 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League One
0-0 0-2 132 L
25/04 Hamilton
Scotland League One
0-1 1-3 43 L
18/04 Queen of South
Scotland League One
0-0 1-1 77 D
14/04 Inverness CT
Scotland League One
0-1 0-2 25 L
11/04 East Fife
Scotland League One
0-1 1-2 55 L

Montrose

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Queen of South
Scotland League One
1-0 2-1 47 W
22/08 East Kilbride
Scotland League One
2-0 3-0 15 W
15/08 Alloa
Scotland League One
0-2 0-3 54 L
08/08 Ross County
Scotland League One
1-1 1-2 47 L
01/08 Hamilton
Scotland League One
0-2 0-5 40 L
02/05 Stenhousemuir
Scotland League One
0-1 0-2 73 L
25/04 Queen of South
Scotland League One
1-0 2-2 24 D
18/04 Hamilton
Scotland League One
0-1 0-2 51 L
11/04 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League One
0-0 1-3 24 L
07/04 Cove Rangers
Scotland League One
0-1 2-3 62 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Peterhead vs Montrose?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Peterhead win (45%). Probabilities: Peterhead 45%, draw 28%, Montrose 27%.

How many goals are expected in Peterhead vs Montrose?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Peterhead 1.39 · Montrose 1.02), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Peterhead vs Montrose?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.