Prediction: Cove Rangers vs Alloa
Team pages: Cove Rangers · Alloa
- Cove Rangers0-1Alloa
- Alloa2-2Cove Rangers
- Cove Rangers0-0Alloa
- Alloa2-1Cove Rangers
- Cove Rangers1-1Alloa
- Alloa2-1Cove Rangers
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Alloa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 31% | 36% |
| Market | 34% | 28% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alloa (rating 1440 vs 1505).
- H2H favours Alloa: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cove Rangers | Alloa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.3 | 2.1 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cove Rangers 0–3–3 Alloa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Scotland League One | Cove Rangers | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Alloa |
| 31/01/26 Scotland League One | Alloa | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Cove Rangers |
| 22/11/25 Scotland League One | Cove Rangers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Alloa |
| 20/09/25 Scotland League One | Alloa | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Cove Rangers |
| 19/04/25 Scotland League One | Cove Rangers | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Alloa |
| 01/03/25 Scotland League One | Alloa | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Cove Rangers |
Standings · Scotland League One
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamilton | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 2 | Ross County | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Alloa | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | East Kilbride | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
| 5 | Peterhead | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | East Fife | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Montrose | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Airdrieonians | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| 10 | Queen of South | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cove Rangers | Alloa |
|---|---|---|
| Hamilton | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Peterhead | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| East Fife | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Stenhousemuir | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Queen of South | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Montrose | 3-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Alloa (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cove Rangers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League One |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Stenhousemuir Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 07/04 | Montrose Scotland League One |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
Alloa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Montrose Scotland League One |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
1-1 | 1-4 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Stenhousemuir Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | East Fife Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cove Rangers vs Alloa?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Alloa win (37%). Probabilities: Cove Rangers 34%, draw 29%, Alloa 37%.
How many goals are expected in Cove Rangers vs Alloa?
The model expects 2.27 goals (Cove Rangers 1.1 · Alloa 1.17), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cove Rangers vs Alloa?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.