Football · Scotland League One · 22/08, 16:00

Prediction: Airdrieonians vs Ross County

Team pages: Airdrieonians · Ross County

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Airdrieonians1.12
Ross County1.57
1X2
26% 27% 47%
Airdrieonians Draw Ross County
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Airdrieonians 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLWLDDWL
Ross County 8-2-0 (W-D-L)
WWDWDWWWWW
Head-to-head
Airdrieonians 2–2–2 Ross County (6 last)
  • Airdrieonians0-3Ross County
  • Ross County0-4Airdrieonians
  • Airdrieonians0-1Ross County
  • Ross County1-2Airdrieonians
  • Airdrieonians2-2Ross County
  • Airdrieonians3-3Ross County
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Airdrieonians 1473 · Ross County 1602
AirdrieoniansDrawRoss County
Our model26%27%47%
Market26%26%47%
Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ross County (rating 1473 vs 1602).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AirdrieoniansRoss County
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.82.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.30.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 42.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 04.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Airdrieonians 222 Ross County

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/07/26
Scotland League Cup
Airdrieonians0-3
HT 0-1
Ross County
04/04/26
Scotland Championship
Ross County0-4
HT 0-3
Airdrieonians
24/01/26
Scotland Championship
Airdrieonians0-1
HT 0-0
Ross County
06/12/25
Scotland Championship
Ross County1-2
HT 0-0
Airdrieonians
02/08/25
Scotland Championship
Airdrieonians2-2
HT 0-1
Ross County
19/08/23
Scotland League Cup
Airdrieonians3-3
HT 1-3
Ross County

Standings · Scotland League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Hamilton 3300 1009
2 East Kilbride 3210 927
3 Ross County 2200 316
4 Peterhead 3201 326
5 Alloa 3111 314
6 East Fife 3111 324
7 Airdrieonians 3021 152
8 Cove Rangers 3012 051
9 Queen of South 2002 160
10 Montrose 3003 1100

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAirdrieoniansRoss County
Annan Athletic 3-0 W 4-1 W
Clyde 0-1 L 3-1 W
Dundee 2-4 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ross County (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Airdrieonians

LLLLWLDDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Hamilton
Scotland League One
0-1 0-4 85 L
11/08 Dumbarton
Scotland League Challenge Cup
1-0 3-1 60 W
08/08 East Kilbride
Scotland League One
0-0 1-1 36 D
01/08 Cove Rangers
Scotland League One
0-0 0-0 55 D
25/07 Ross County
Scotland League Cup
0-1 0-3 34 L
18/07 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Cup
1-0 3-0 42 W
14/07 Clyde
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-1 22 L
11/07 Dundee
Scotland League Cup
2-1 2-4 32 L
07/07 Falkirk
UK Friendlies
1-0 1-2 30 L
04/07 Ayr
UK Friendlies
0-0 1-2 30 L

Ross County

WWDWDWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Dunfermline
Scotland League Cup
0-0 2-1 53 W
11/08 Elgin
Scotland League Challenge Cup
1-1 2-1 94 W
08/08 Montrose
Scotland League One
1-1 2-1 107 W
01/08 Peterhead
Scotland League One
0-0 1-0 66 W
25/07 Airdrieonians
Scotland League Cup
1-0 3-0 64 W
21/07 Dundee
Scotland League Cup
0-1 1-1 76 D
18/07 Clyde
Scotland League Cup
2-1 3-1 35 W
14/07 Nairn County
UK Friendlies
0-1 2-2 11 D
11/07 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Cup
1-0 4-1 42 W
04/07 Inverness CT
UK Friendlies
1-0 4-0 13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Airdrieonians vs Ross County?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ross County win (47%). Probabilities: Airdrieonians 26%, draw 27%, Ross County 47%.

How many goals are expected in Airdrieonians vs Ross County?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Airdrieonians 1.12 · Ross County 1.57), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Airdrieonians vs Ross County?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.