Football · Scotland Premiership · 31/07, 21:00

Prediction: Dundee Utd vs Rangers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.58Total

Dundee Utd1.24

Rangers2.34

1X2

18% 21% 61%

Dundee Utd Draw Rangers

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Dundee Utd 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDDWLWWL

Rangers 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLLLWW

Head-to-head

Dundee Utd 0–3–3 Rangers (6 last)

Rangers4-2Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd2-2Rangers
Rangers2-2Dundee Utd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dundee Utd 1500 · Rangers 1524

	Dundee Utd	Draw	Rangers
Our model	18%	21%	61%
Market	18%	22%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Rangers: 3-3-0.
High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dundee Utd	Rangers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1	2.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	1.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 7.5	3.5 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.25

X4.20

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.98

2 (-1)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 5.25	Pinn 5.52
X	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.58 ★
2	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.1% Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:30 +6’	5.25	4.20	1.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:35	5.52	4.58	1.52

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dundee Utd 0–3–3 Rangers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Scotland Premiership	Rangers	4-2 HT 2-1	Dundee Utd
03/12/25 Scotland Premiership	Dundee Utd	2-2 HT 1-1	Rangers
18/10/25 Scotland Premiership	Rangers	2-2 HT 1-0	Dundee Utd
14/05/25 Scotland Premiership	Rangers	3-1 HT 1-1	Dundee Utd
26/01/25 Scotland Premiership	Dundee Utd	1-3 HT 1-1	Rangers
23/11/24 Scotland Premiership	Rangers	1-1 HT 0-1	Dundee Utd

Standings · Scotland Premiership

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aberdeen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Celtic	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dundee	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dundee Utd	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Falkirk	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rangers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hearts	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hibernian	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kilmarnock	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Motherwell	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	St Johnstone	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	St Mirren	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dundee Utd	Rangers
St Mirren	1-1 D	1-0 W
Aberdeen	0-2 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Rangers (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Dundee Utd

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Salford City UK Friendlies	0-2	2-3	7	3	L
21/07	Spartans Scotland League Cup	1-0	4-0	17	3	W
18/07	Arbroath Scotland League Cup	1-0	3-0	6	4	W
14/07	Montrose Scotland League Cup	0-1	0-1	12	3	L
11/07	Stirling Scotland League Cup	0-0	1-0	12	1	W
17/05	St Mirren Scotland Premiership	1-0	1-1	2	2	D
12/05	Livingston Scotland Premiership	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
09/05	Aberdeen Scotland Premiership	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
02/05	Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership	0-1	0-3	8	1	L
26/04	Dundee Scotland Premiership	1-0	3-0	2	1	W

Rangers

WWWWLLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	St Etienne Elite Club Friendlies	1-1	2-1	4	1	W
16/05	Falkirk Scotland Premiership	3-2	5-2	4	3	W
13/05	Hibernian Scotland Premiership	1-1	1-2	9	4	L
10/05	Celtic Scotland Premiership	1-1	1-3	7	8	L
04/05	Hearts Scotland Premiership	1-0	1-2	6	3	L
26/04	Motherwell Scotland Premiership	0-2	2-3	7	2	L
12/04	Falkirk Scotland Premiership	1-2	6-3	1	6	W
04/04	Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership	2-1	4-2	10	3	W
21/03	Aberdeen Scotland Premiership	1-0	4-1	2	4	W
15/03	St Mirren Scotland Premiership	1-0	1-0	11	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dundee Utd vs Rangers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rangers win (61%). Probabilities: Dundee Utd 18%, draw 21%, Rangers 61%.

How many goals are expected in Dundee Utd vs Rangers?

The model expects 3.58 goals (Dundee Utd 1.24 · Rangers 2.34), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dundee Utd vs Rangers?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.