Football · Scotland Premiership · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Dundee Utd vs Hibernian

Team pages: Dundee Utd · Hibernian

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

Dundee Utd1.41

Hibernian1.46

1X2

36% 27% 38%

Dundee Utd Draw Hibernian

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Dundee Utd 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDDDLLWLDW

Hibernian 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWLLLD

Head-to-head

Dundee Utd 0–3–3 Hibernian (6 last)

Hibernian3-2Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd1-1Hibernian
Hibernian3-3Dundee Utd
Hibernian3-1Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd1-3Hibernian
Hibernian1-1Dundee Utd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dundee Utd 1473 · Hibernian 1512

	Dundee Utd	Draw	Hibernian
Our model	35%	27%	37%
Market	36%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hibernian: 3-3-0.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dundee Utd	Hibernian
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.4	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.3	1.6 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.60

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Pinn 2.73 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.45 → 2.45	Pinn 2.47

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.1% Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:27 +9’	2.60	3.60	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:21 +615’	2.73	3.58	2.47

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dundee Utd 0–3–3 Hibernian

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
04/02/26 Scotland Premiership	Hibernian	3-2 HT 1-0	Dundee Utd
20/12/25 Scotland Premiership	Dundee Utd	1-1 HT 1-1	Hibernian
13/09/25 Scotland Premiership	Hibernian	3-3 HT 1-2	Dundee Utd
03/05/25 Scotland Premiership	Hibernian	3-1 HT 2-0	Dundee Utd
26/02/25 Scotland Premiership	Dundee Utd	1-3 HT 1-1	Hibernian
03/11/24 Scotland Premiership	Hibernian	1-1 HT 1-0	Dundee Utd

Standings · Scotland Premiership

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	8	4	16
3	Hearts	7	4	1	2	14	8	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	9	7	10
5	St Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	10
6	St Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9	10	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7	8	8
8	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	8
9	Dundee Utd	7	2	2	3	9	11	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8	11	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	6	9	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6	15	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dundee Utd	Hibernian
Falkirk	1-1 D	3-1 W
Motherwell	0-3 L	1-2 L
Kilmarnock	4-0 W	0-1 L
Dundee	0-2 L	2-1 W
Hearts	0-4 L	1-3 L
Rangers	1-1 D	2-1 W
Aberdeen	0-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Hibernian (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dundee Utd

LDDDLLWLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	St Mirren Scotland Premiership	3-0	3-0	7	4	W
05/09	Falkirk Scotland Premiership	0-1	1-1	14	5	D
02/09	Motherwell Scotland Premiership	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
29/08	Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership	3-0	4-0	5	6	W
22/08	Dundee Scotland Premiership	0-1	0-2	6	7	L
09/08	Hearts Scotland Premiership	0-2	0-4	2	3	L
31/07	Rangers Scotland Premiership	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
17/05	St Mirren Scotland Premiership	1-0	1-1	2	2	D
12/05	Livingston Scotland Premiership	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
09/05	Aberdeen Scotland Premiership	0-1	0-2	2	6	L

Hibernian

WWLLWWLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Aberdeen Scotland Premiership	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
15/09	Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership	0-1	0-1	15	3	L
06/09	St Johnstone Scotland Premiership	1-2	1-2	7	1	L
03/09	Hearts Scotland Premiership	0-2	1-3	7	3	L
30/08	Dundee Scotland Premiership	1-0	2-1	5	2	W
09/08	Rangers Scotland Premiership	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
02/08	Motherwell Scotland Premiership	0-1	1-2	9	4	L
16/05	Motherwell Scotland Premiership	0-1	0-1	7	10	L
13/05	Rangers Scotland Premiership	1-1	2-1	3	4	W
09/05	Falkirk Scotland Premiership	3-0	3-1	5	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dundee Utd vs Hibernian?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hibernian win (38%). Probabilities: Dundee Utd 36%, draw 27%, Hibernian 38%.

How many goals are expected in Dundee Utd vs Hibernian?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Dundee Utd 1.41 · Hibernian 1.46), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dundee Utd vs Hibernian?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.