Prediction: Kilmarnock vs Motherwell
Team pages: Kilmarnock · Motherwell
- Motherwell4-0Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock1-3Motherwell
- Motherwell2-2Kilmarnock
- Motherwell3-0Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock2-0Motherwell
- Kilmarnock0-0Motherwell
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Motherwell | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| Market | 30% | 26% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Motherwell: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kilmarnock | Motherwell | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.4 | 2.5 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kilmarnock 1–2–3 Motherwell
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 Scotland Premiership | Motherwell | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Kilmarnock |
| 22/11/25 Scotland Premiership | Kilmarnock | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Motherwell |
| 30/08/25 Scotland Premiership | Motherwell | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Kilmarnock |
| 14/05/25 Scotland Premiership | Motherwell | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Kilmarnock |
| 05/04/25 Scotland Premiership | Kilmarnock | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Motherwell |
| 08/01/25 Scotland Premiership | Kilmarnock | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Motherwell |
Standings · Scotland Premiership
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 19 |
| 2 | Celtic | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Hearts | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Dundee | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Dundee Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 10 |
| 7 | St Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 8 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
| 10 | Hibernian | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kilmarnock | Motherwell |
|---|---|---|
| Rangers | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Hibernian | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Aberdeen | 0-0 D | 0-4 L |
| St Mirren | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| Dundee Utd | 0-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Celtic | 1-5 L | 0-2 L |
| Dundee | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Motherwell (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kilmarnock
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 15/09 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 02/09 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | St Johnstone Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Livingston Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
Motherwell
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 15/09 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 02/09 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
2-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 13/05 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kilmarnock vs Motherwell?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Motherwell win (44%). Probabilities: Kilmarnock 30%, draw 26%, Motherwell 44%.
How many goals are expected in Kilmarnock vs Motherwell?
The model expects 3.18 goals (Kilmarnock 1.43 · Motherwell 1.75), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Kilmarnock vs Motherwell?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.