Prediction: Hibernian vs Falkirk
Team pages: Hibernian · Falkirk
- Falkirk1-3Hibernian
- Falkirk4-1Hibernian
- Hibernian3-0Falkirk
- Falkirk2-2Hibernian
- Falkirk1-0Hibernian
- Hibernian2-1Falkirk
| Hibernian | Draw | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 25% | 21% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hibernian (rating 1489 vs 1449).
- H2H favours Hibernian: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hibernian | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 6.5 | 2.6 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.4 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hibernian 3–1–2 Falkirk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Scotland Premiership | Falkirk | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Hibernian |
| 24/01/26 Scotland Premiership | Falkirk | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Hibernian |
| 06/12/25 Scotland Premiership | Hibernian | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Falkirk |
| 23/09/25 Scotland Premiership | Falkirk | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Hibernian |
| 12/07/22 Scotland League Cup | Falkirk | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Hibernian |
| 25/03/17 Scotland Championship | Hibernian | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Falkirk |
Standings · Scotland Premiership
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 19 |
| 2 | Celtic | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Hearts | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Dundee | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Dundee Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 10 |
| 7 | St Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 8 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
| 10 | Hibernian | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hibernian | Falkirk |
|---|---|---|
| Dundee Utd | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| St Johnstone | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Hearts | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Dundee | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Rangers | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Motherwell | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Falkirk (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hibernian
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 19/09 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 15/09 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-1 | 15 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | St Johnstone Scotland Premiership |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 03/09 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 13/05 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Falkirk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 19/09 | St Johnstone Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 15/09 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 02/09 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
2-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hibernian vs Falkirk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hibernian win (54%). Probabilities: Hibernian 54%, draw 25%, Falkirk 21%.
How many goals are expected in Hibernian vs Falkirk?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Hibernian 1.79 · Falkirk 1.05), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hibernian vs Falkirk?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.