Football · Scotland Premiership · 28/10, 20:45

Prediction: Celtic vs Dundee Utd

Team pages: Celtic · Dundee Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

Celtic2.43

Dundee Utd0.77

1X2

73% 17% 9%

Celtic Draw Dundee Utd

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Celtic 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWLWW

Dundee Utd 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDLLWLDWWD

Head-to-head

Celtic 4–2 Dundee Utd (6 last)

Dundee Utd0-4Celtic
Dundee Utd2-0Celtic
Celtic4-0Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd2-1Celtic
Dundee Utd0-5Celtic
Celtic3-0Dundee Utd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Celtic 1558 · Dundee Utd 1490

	Celtic	Draw	Dundee Utd
Our model	73%	18%	9%
Market	74%	17%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Celtic (rating 1558 vs 1490).
H2H favours Celtic: 4-0-2.
High corners: 14.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Celtic	Dundee Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 0.6	1.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.6 / 9	2.4 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.25

X5.50

29.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.90

2 (+1.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.252.02

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:11 +16’	1.25	5.50	9.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Celtic 4–0–2 Dundee Utd

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Scotland League Cup	Dundee Utd	0-4 HT 0-2	Celtic
22/03/26 Scotland Premiership	Dundee Utd	2-0 HT 0-0	Celtic
10/01/26 Scotland Premiership	Celtic	4-0 HT 2-0	Dundee Utd
17/12/25 Scotland Premiership	Dundee Utd	2-1 HT 0-1	Celtic
26/04/25 Scotland Premiership	Dundee Utd	0-5 HT 0-3	Celtic
15/02/25 Scotland Premiership	Celtic	3-0 HT 2-0	Dundee Utd

Standings · Scotland Premiership

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Celtic	9	8	0	1	23	5	24
2	Rangers	9	6	2	1	13	7	20
3	Hearts	9	5	1	3	20	15	16
4	Dundee	9	4	2	3	13	10	14
5	St Johnstone	9	3	3	3	11	11	12
6	Dundee Utd	9	3	3	3	11	12	12
7	Aberdeen	9	3	2	4	10	10	11
8	St Mirren	9	3	1	5	9	17	10
9	Falkirk	9	2	3	4	9	12	9
10	Motherwell	9	2	2	5	11	16	8
11	Kilmarnock	9	2	2	5	10	20	8
12	Hibernian	9	2	1	6	9	14	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Celtic	Dundee Utd
Hearts	7-1 W	0-4 L
Motherwell	2-0 W	0-3 L
Rangers	0-1 L	1-1 D
St Johnstone	1-0 W	1-1 D
St Mirren	2-1 W	3-0 W
Falkirk	2-1 W	1-1 D
Kilmarnock	5-1 W	4-0 W
Dundee	1-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Celtic (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Celtic

WWWWWWWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Hearts Scotland Premiership	5-1	7-1	6	4	W
11/10	Motherwell Scotland Premiership	1-0	2-0	9	3	W
20/09	Rangers Scotland Premiership	0-1	0-1	8	5	L
09/09	St Johnstone Scotland Premiership	0-0	1-0	11	4	W
05/09	St Mirren Scotland Premiership	0-1	2-1	10	3	W
02/09	Aberdeen Scotland Premiership	3-0	3-0	15	2	W
29/08	Falkirk Scotland Premiership	2-0	2-1	6	5	W
09/08	Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership	3-0	5-1	7	1	W
03/08	Dundee Scotland Premiership	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
16/05	Hearts Scotland Premiership	1-1	3-1	9	9	W

Dundee Utd

DDLLWLDWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	St Johnstone Scotland Premiership	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
10/10	Hibernian Scotland Premiership	1-0	1-0	8	7	W
19/09	St Mirren Scotland Premiership	3-0	3-0	7	4	W
05/09	Falkirk Scotland Premiership	0-1	1-1	14	5	D
02/09	Motherwell Scotland Premiership	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
29/08	Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership	3-0	4-0	5	6	W
22/08	Dundee Scotland Premiership	0-1	0-2	6	7	L
09/08	Hearts Scotland Premiership	0-2	0-4	2	3	L
31/07	Rangers Scotland Premiership	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
17/05	St Mirren Scotland Premiership	1-0	1-1	2	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Celtic vs Dundee Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Celtic win (73%). Probabilities: Celtic 73%, draw 17%, Dundee Utd 9%.

How many goals are expected in Celtic vs Dundee Utd?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Celtic 2.43 · Dundee Utd 0.77), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Celtic vs Dundee Utd?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.