Prediction: Celtic vs Falkirk
- Celtic3-1Falkirk
- Celtic2-0Falkirk
- Falkirk0-1Celtic
- Celtic4-0Falkirk
- Celtic4-1Falkirk
- Celtic5-2Falkirk
| Celtic | Draw | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 78% | 14% | 7% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Celtic (rating 1642 vs 1461).
- H2H favours Celtic: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Celtic | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1 | 1.2 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.4 | 2.1 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Celtic 6–0–0 Falkirk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Scotland Premiership | Celtic | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Falkirk |
| 01/02/26 Scotland Premiership | Celtic | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Falkirk |
| 14/01/26 Scotland Premiership | Falkirk | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Celtic |
| 29/10/25 Scotland Premiership | Celtic | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Falkirk |
| 15/08/25 Scotland League Cup | Celtic | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Falkirk |
| 22/09/24 Scotland League Cup | Celtic | 5-2 HT 1-2 | Falkirk |
Standings · Scotland Premiership
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Dundee | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | St Mirren | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Hearts | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | St Johnstone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Rangers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 | Falkirk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Dundee Utd | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Celtic | Falkirk |
|---|---|---|
| Hearts | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Motherwell | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Rangers | 3-1 W | 2-5 L |
| Hibernian | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| St Mirren | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Celtic (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Celtic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
3-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 03/08 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 9 | W |
| 13/05 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 03/05 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 22/03 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Falkirk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
2-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 25/04 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/03 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Celtic vs Falkirk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Celtic win (78%). Probabilities: Celtic 78%, draw 15%, Falkirk 7%.
How many goals are expected in Celtic vs Falkirk?
The model expects 3.41 goals (Celtic 2.69 · Falkirk 0.73), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Celtic vs Falkirk?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.