Prediction: Hearts vs Dundee
- Hearts1-0Dundee
- Dundee0-1Hearts
- Hearts4-0Dundee
- Hearts0-1Dundee
- Hearts3-1Dundee
- Dundee0-6Hearts
| Hearts | Draw | Dundee | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 21% | 16% |
| Market | 62% | 23% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hearts (rating 1557 vs 1492).
- H2H favours Hearts: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hearts | Dundee | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.2 | 2.4 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.4 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hearts 5–0–1 Dundee
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Scotland Premiership | Hearts | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Dundee |
| 11/01/26 Scotland Premiership | Dundee | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Hearts |
| 01/11/25 Scotland Premiership | Hearts | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Dundee |
| 26/04/25 Scotland Premiership | Hearts | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Dundee |
| 07/03/25 Scotland FA Cup | Hearts | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Dundee |
| 01/02/25 Scotland Premiership | Dundee | 0-6 HT 0-2 | Hearts |
Standings · Scotland Premiership
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | St Mirren | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Hearts | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Dundee | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Rangers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Dundee Utd | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hearts | Dundee |
|---|---|---|
| Dundee Utd | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Aberdeen | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Celtic | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Livingston | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Dundee (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hearts
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | St Johnstone Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 09/08 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 13/05 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 05/04 | Livingston Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
Dundee
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 08/08 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/08 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 12/05 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Livingston Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 05/04 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hearts vs Dundee?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hearts win (63%). Probabilities: Hearts 63%, draw 22%, Dundee 15%.
How many goals are expected in Hearts vs Dundee?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Hearts 2.2 · Dundee 1.03), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Hearts vs Dundee?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.