Prediction: Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock
Team pages: Aberdeen · Kilmarnock
- Aberdeen1-0Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock3-0Aberdeen
- Aberdeen2-1Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock0-1Aberdeen
- Aberdeen1-0Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock4-0Aberdeen
| Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 26% | 21% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Aberdeen: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aberdeen | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.9 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.3 | 2.2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aberdeen 4–0–2 Kilmarnock
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Scotland Premiership | Aberdeen | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Kilmarnock |
| 31/01/26 Scotland Premiership | Kilmarnock | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Aberdeen |
| 14/12/25 Scotland Premiership | Aberdeen | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Kilmarnock |
| 29/10/25 Scotland Premiership | Kilmarnock | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Aberdeen |
| 22/02/25 Scotland Premiership | Aberdeen | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kilmarnock |
| 26/12/24 Scotland Premiership | Kilmarnock | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Aberdeen |
Standings · Scotland Premiership
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Hearts | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Dundee | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | St Mirren | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | St Johnstone | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Rangers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aberdeen | Kilmarnock |
|---|---|---|
| Dundee | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| St Mirren | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Dundee Utd | 2-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Livingston | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| Hibernian | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Kilmarnock (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aberdeen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 08/08 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 12/05 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Livingston Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Kilmarnock
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | St Johnstone Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Livingston Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 04/04 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 0-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aberdeen win (54%). Probabilities: Aberdeen 54%, draw 25%, Kilmarnock 21%.
How many goals are expected in Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Aberdeen 1.77 · Kilmarnock 1.02), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.