Prediction: Falkirk vs Rangers
- Falkirk2-5Rangers
- Falkirk3-6Rangers
- Rangers0-0Falkirk
- Falkirk1-1Rangers
- Falkirk0-4Rangers
- Rangers4-1Falkirk
| Falkirk | Draw | Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 23% | 60% |
| Market | 18% | 22% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rangers (rating 1463 vs 1528).
- H2H favours Rangers: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Falkirk | Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.6 | 2.6 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.4 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.6 | 3.3 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Falkirk 0–2–4 Rangers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Scotland Premiership | Falkirk | 2-5 HT 2-3 | Rangers |
| 12/04/26 Scotland Premiership | Falkirk | 3-6 HT 2-1 | Rangers |
| 30/11/25 Scotland Premiership | Rangers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Falkirk |
| 05/10/25 Scotland Premiership | Falkirk | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Rangers |
| 29/11/20 Scotland League Cup | Falkirk | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Rangers |
| 04/03/18 Scotland FA Cup | Rangers | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Falkirk |
Standings · Scotland Premiership
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Dundee | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | St Mirren | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Hearts | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | St Johnstone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Rangers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 | Falkirk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Dundee Utd | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Falkirk | Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Motherwell | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Hearts | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Hibernian | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Celtic | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Rangers (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Falkirk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
2-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 25/04 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/03 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 31/07 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
3-2 | 5-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 04/05 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
1-2 | 6-3 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 04/04 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 4-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Falkirk vs Rangers?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Rangers win (60%). Probabilities: Falkirk 17%, draw 22%, Rangers 60%.
How many goals are expected in Falkirk vs Rangers?
The model expects 3.1 goals (Falkirk 1.04 · Rangers 2.07), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Falkirk vs Rangers?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

