Football · Scotland Premiership · 02/09, 21:00

Prediction: Falkirk vs Rangers

Team pages: Falkirk · Rangers

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Falkirk1.04
Rangers2.07
1X2
17% 22% 60%
Falkirk Draw Rangers
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Falkirk 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LWLLWLLLLD
Rangers 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WWWLLLLWDL
Head-to-head
Falkirk 0–2–4 Rangers (6 last)
  • Falkirk2-5Rangers
  • Falkirk3-6Rangers
  • Rangers0-0Falkirk
  • Falkirk1-1Rangers
  • Falkirk0-4Rangers
  • Rangers4-1Falkirk
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Falkirk 1463 · Rangers 1528
FalkirkDrawRangers
Our model17%23%60%
Market18%22%60%
Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rangers (rating 1463 vs 1528).
  • H2H favours Rangers: 4-2-0.
  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FalkirkRangers
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 2.62.6 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 1.41 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.63.3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 03.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Falkirk 024 Rangers

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/05/26
Scotland Premiership
Falkirk2-5
HT 2-3
Rangers
12/04/26
Scotland Premiership
Falkirk3-6
HT 2-1
Rangers
30/11/25
Scotland Premiership
Rangers0-0
HT 0-0
Falkirk
05/10/25
Scotland Premiership
Falkirk1-1
HT 0-1
Rangers
29/11/20
Scotland League Cup
Falkirk0-4
HT 0-3
Rangers
04/03/18
Scotland FA Cup
Rangers4-1
HT 3-1
Falkirk

Standings · Scotland Premiership

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Celtic 2200 616
2 Dundee 3201 416
3 St Mirren 2200 306
4 Motherwell 2110 214
5 Hearts 2101 523
6 St Johnstone 2101 443
7 Hibernian 2101 333
8 Aberdeen 2101 233
9 Rangers 2011 231
10 Falkirk 2011 021
11 Dundee Utd 3012 171
12 Kilmarnock 2002 490

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFalkirkRangers
Motherwell 0-0 D 2-3 L
Hearts 0-3 L 1-2 L
Hibernian 1-3 L 1-2 L
Celtic 1-3 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 3 L 0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Rangers (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Falkirk

LWLLWLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Motherwell
Scotland Premiership
0-0 0-0 24 D
01/08 St Mirren
Scotland Premiership
0-1 0-2 74 L
16/05 Rangers
Scotland Premiership
2-3 2-5 73 L
13/05 Hearts
Scotland Premiership
0-2 0-3 54 L
09/05 Hibernian
Scotland Premiership
0-3 1-3 61 L
02/05 Motherwell
Scotland Premiership
0-0 1-0 29 W
25/04 Celtic
Scotland Premiership
0-2 1-3 65 L
12/04 Rangers
Scotland Premiership
2-1 3-6 26 L
04/04 Motherwell
Scotland Premiership
2-1 3-2 25 W
21/03 St Mirren
Scotland Premiership
1-1 1-2 73 L

Rangers

WWWLLLLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Hibernian
Scotland Premiership
0-1 1-2 72 L
31/07 Dundee Utd
Scotland Premiership
0-1 1-1 104 D
16/05 Falkirk
Scotland Premiership
3-2 5-2 43 W
13/05 Hibernian
Scotland Premiership
1-1 1-2 94 L
10/05 Celtic
Scotland Premiership
1-1 1-3 78 L
04/05 Hearts
Scotland Premiership
1-0 1-2 63 L
26/04 Motherwell
Scotland Premiership
0-2 2-3 72 L
12/04 Falkirk
Scotland Premiership
1-2 6-3 16 W
04/04 Dundee Utd
Scotland Premiership
2-1 4-2 103 W
21/03 Aberdeen
Scotland Premiership
1-0 4-1 24 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Falkirk vs Rangers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rangers win (60%). Probabilities: Falkirk 17%, draw 22%, Rangers 60%.

How many goals are expected in Falkirk vs Rangers?

The model expects 3.1 goals (Falkirk 1.04 · Rangers 2.07), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Falkirk vs Rangers?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.