Prediction: Hearts vs Falkirk
- Falkirk2-1Hearts
- Hearts3-0Falkirk
- Hearts1-0Falkirk
- Hearts1-1Falkirk
- Falkirk0-2Hearts
- Hearts3-0Falkirk
| Hearts | Draw | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 25% | 19% |
| Market | 58% | 21% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Hearts: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hearts | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 6.5 | 2.4 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hearts 4–1–1 Falkirk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/26 Scotland Premiership | Falkirk | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Hearts |
| 13/05/26 Scotland Premiership | Hearts | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Falkirk |
| 21/02/26 Scotland Premiership | Hearts | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Falkirk |
| 17/01/26 Scotland FA Cup | Hearts | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Falkirk |
| 13/12/25 Scotland Premiership | Falkirk | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Hearts |
| 27/09/25 Scotland Premiership | Hearts | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Falkirk |
Standings · Scotland Premiership
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Rangers | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Hearts | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 20 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 18 |
| 5 | Dundee | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 17 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| 7 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 14 |
| 8 | St Mirren | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 12 |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 11 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 9 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 8 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hearts | Falkirk |
|---|---|---|
| Rangers | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Celtic | 1-7 L | 2-0 W |
| Kilmarnock | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Dundee | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Hibernian | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| St Johnstone | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Dundee Utd | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Hearts (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hearts
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 25/10 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 18/10 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
1-5 | 1-7 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 15/09 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 06/09 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 6 | W |
| 03/09 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | St Johnstone Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 09/08 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Falkirk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 28/10 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 24/10 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 19/09 | St Johnstone Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 15/09 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 02/09 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hearts vs Falkirk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hearts win (58%). Probabilities: Hearts 58%, draw 22%, Falkirk 20%.
How many goals are expected in Hearts vs Falkirk?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Hearts 1.87 · Falkirk 1.01), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Hearts vs Falkirk?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.