Prediction: Raith vs Arbroath
- Arbroath2-1Raith
- Raith2-3Arbroath
- Arbroath0-0Raith
- Raith3-0Arbroath
- Raith5-0Arbroath
- Arbroath3-2Raith
| Raith | Draw | Arbroath | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 30% | 23% |
| Market | 48% | 27% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Raith (rating 1572 vs 1509).
- H2H favours Arbroath: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Raith | Arbroath | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.2 | 2.4 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Raith 2–1–3 Arbroath
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Scotland Championship | Arbroath | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Raith |
| 10/01/26 Scotland Championship | Raith | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Arbroath |
| 22/11/25 Scotland Championship | Arbroath | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Raith |
| 27/09/25 Scotland Championship | Raith | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Arbroath |
| 03/05/24 Scotland Championship | Raith | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Arbroath |
| 01/03/24 Scotland Championship | Arbroath | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Raith |
Standings · Scotland Championship
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Partick | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
| 3 | Raith | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Arbroath | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Livingston | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Dunfermline | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Ayr | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | Queen's Park | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 9 | Inverness CT | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| 10 | Morton | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Raith | Arbroath |
|---|---|---|
| Inverness CT | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Dunfermline | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Ayr | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| St Johnstone | 0-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Morton | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Raith (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | Ross County Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | St Johnstone Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 14/04 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Morton Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
Arbroath
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Morton Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 01/05 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Raith Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | St Johnstone Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Raith vs Arbroath?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Raith win (48%). Probabilities: Raith 48%, draw 28%, Arbroath 24%.
How many goals are expected in Raith vs Arbroath?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Raith 1.41 · Arbroath 0.93), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Raith vs Arbroath?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.