Football · Scotland Championship · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Dunfermline vs Queen's Park

Team pages: Dunfermline · Queen's Park

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2Total
Dunfermline1.41
Queen's Park0.59
1X2
57% 27% 16%
Dunfermline Draw Queen's Park
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Dunfermline 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
LDLWDDDLWD
Queen's Park 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WLDLDLLLDW
Head-to-head
Dunfermline 3–3–0 Queen's Park (6 last)
  • Queen's Park0-2Dunfermline
  • Dunfermline1-0Queen's Park
  • Queen's Park1-1Dunfermline
  • Dunfermline0-0Queen's Park
  • Queen's Park0-1Dunfermline
  • Dunfermline0-0Queen's Park
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dunfermline 1520 · Queen's Park 1489
DunfermlineDrawQueen's Park
Our model56%30%14%
Market59%24%17%
Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Dunfermline: 3-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

DunfermlineQueen's Park
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 10.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.50.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.81.6 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.2 / 03.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunfermline 330 Queen's Park

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Scotland Championship
Queen's Park0-2
HT 0-1
Dunfermline
28/02/26
Scotland Championship
Dunfermline1-0
HT 1-0
Queen's Park
13/12/25
Scotland Championship
Queen's Park1-1
HT 1-0
Dunfermline
04/10/25
Scotland Championship
Dunfermline0-0
HT 0-0
Queen's Park
12/04/25
Scotland Championship
Queen's Park0-1
HT 0-0
Dunfermline
22/02/25
Scotland Championship
Dunfermline0-0
HT 0-0
Queen's Park

Standings · Scotland Championship

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Stenhousemuir 5410 9213
2 Partick 5320 5111
3 Raith 5311 7310
4 Arbroath 5221 448
5 Livingston 5203 446
6 Dunfermline 5131 346
7 Ayr 5122 455
8 Queen's Park 5113 374
9 Inverness CT 5032 263
10 Morton 5014 381

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDunfermlineQueen's Park
Raith 1-0 W 1-2 L
Livingston 0-2 L 0-2 L
Partick 0-2 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dunfermline

LDLWDDDLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Arbroath
Scotland Championship
0-0 1-1 52 D
28/08 Raith
Scotland Championship
0-0 1-0 33 W
22/08 Livingston
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-2 62 L
08/08 Ayr
Scotland Championship
1-1 1-1 121 D
01/08 Inverness CT
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 22 D
01/05 Arbroath
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 52 D
25/04 Queen's Park
Scotland Championship
1-0 2-0 54 W
21/04 St Johnstone
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-2 33 L
14/04 Airdrieonians
Scotland Championship
0-1 2-2 53 D
11/04 Partick
Scotland Championship
0-2 0-2 20 L

Queen's Park

WLDLDLLLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Morton
Scotland Championship
1-1 2-1 65 W
29/08 Partick
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 23 D
22/08 Stenhousemuir
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-2 43 L
08/08 Raith
Scotland Championship
0-1 1-2 44 L
01/08 Livingston
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-2 02 L
01/05 Partick
Scotland Championship
0-1 1-1 71 D
25/04 Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-2 14 L
18/04 Morton
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 42 D
14/04 Raith
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-2 06 L
10/04 Ross County
Scotland Championship
1-0 1-0 46 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dunfermline vs Queen's Park?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dunfermline win (57%). Probabilities: Dunfermline 57%, draw 27%, Queen's Park 16%.

How many goals are expected in Dunfermline vs Queen's Park?

The model expects 2 goals (Dunfermline 1.41 · Queen's Park 0.59), with a 59% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Dunfermline vs Queen's Park?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.