Football · Scotland Championship · 18/09, 20:30

Prediction: Queen's Park vs Ayr

Team pages: Queen's Park · Ayr

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.14Total
Queen's Park0.94
Ayr1.21
1X2
28% 30% 42%
Queen's Park Draw Ayr
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Queen's Park 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LDLDLLLDWL
Ayr 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
WLLLWDLDLL
Head-to-head
Queen's Park 1–4–1 Ayr (6 last)
  • Queen's Park1-1Ayr
  • Ayr1-2Queen's Park
  • Queen's Park0-0Ayr
  • Ayr1-1Queen's Park
  • Ayr2-2Queen's Park
  • Queen's Park2-3Ayr
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Queen's Park 1471 · Ayr 1467
Queen's ParkDrawAyr
Our model27%32%41%
Market29%28%43%
Estimated total (ours) 2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Queen's ParkAyr
Goals for / against (FT)0.4 / 1.40.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.70.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/50/50%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.72.7 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.23.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Queen's Park 141 Ayr

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/03/26
Scotland Championship
Queen's Park1-1
HT 1-1
Ayr
10/03/26
Scotland Championship
Ayr1-2
HT 0-0
Queen's Park
25/10/25
Scotland Championship
Queen's Park0-0
HT 0-0
Ayr
30/08/25
Scotland Championship
Ayr1-1
HT 0-1
Queen's Park
26/04/25
Scotland Championship
Ayr2-2
HT 1-2
Queen's Park
04/03/25
Scotland Championship
Queen's Park2-3
HT 0-0
Ayr

Standings · Scotland Championship

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Raith 6411 11313
2 Stenhousemuir 5410 9213
3 Partick 5320 5111
4 Livingston 6303 859
5 Dunfermline 6231 549
6 Arbroath 6222 488
7 Inverness CT 6132 576
8 Ayr 6123 585
9 Queen's Park 6114 394
10 Morton 6015 4121

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentQueen's ParkAyr
Dunfermline 0-2 L 1-1 D
Morton 2-1 W 1-1 D
Partick 0-0 D 0-1 L
Raith 1-2 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Queen's Park (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Queen's Park

LDLDLLLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
0-2 0-2 96 L
05/09 Morton
Scotland Championship
1-1 2-1 65 W
29/08 Partick
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 23 D
22/08 Stenhousemuir
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-2 43 L
08/08 Raith
Scotland Championship
0-1 1-2 44 L
01/08 Livingston
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-2 02 L
01/05 Partick
Scotland Championship
0-1 1-1 71 D
25/04 Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-2 14 L
18/04 Morton
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 42 D
14/04 Raith
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-2 06 L

Ayr

WLLLWDLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Inverness CT
Scotland Championship
1-2 1-3 84 L
05/09 Partick
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-1 35 L
29/08 Morton
Scotland Championship
1-0 1-1 34 D
22/08 Raith
Scotland Championship
0-2 0-2 24 L
08/08 Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
1-1 1-1 61 D
01/08 Arbroath
Scotland Championship
1-0 2-0 30 W
01/05 St Johnstone
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-1 72 L
25/04 Airdrieonians
Scotland Championship
1-0 1-2 63 L
18/04 Ross County
Scotland Championship
1-1 1-2 55 L
11/04 Arbroath
Scotland Championship
0-0 1-0 75 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Queen's Park vs Ayr?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ayr win (42%). Probabilities: Queen's Park 28%, draw 30%, Ayr 42%.

How many goals are expected in Queen's Park vs Ayr?

The model expects 2.14 goals (Queen's Park 0.94 · Ayr 1.21), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Queen's Park vs Ayr?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.