Prediction: Partick vs Ayr
- Ayr1-1Partick
- Partick2-1Ayr
- Ayr0-0Partick
- Partick2-1Ayr
- Partick2-0Ayr
- Ayr0-2Partick
| Partick | Draw | Ayr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 28% | 17% |
| Market | 56% | 25% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Partick (rating 1565 vs 1500).
- H2H favours Partick: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Partick | Ayr | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.8 | 2.6 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Partick 4–2–0 Ayr
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Scotland Championship | Ayr | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Partick |
| 24/01/26 Scotland Championship | Partick | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Ayr |
| 06/12/25 Scotland Championship | Ayr | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Partick |
| 21/10/25 Scotland Championship | Partick | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Ayr |
| 16/08/25 Scotland League Cup | Partick | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Ayr |
| 09/05/25 Scotland Premiership Play-Offs | Ayr | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Partick |
Standings · Scotland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Partick | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
| 3 | Raith | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Arbroath | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Livingston | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Ayr | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Dunfermline | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Inverness CT | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Morton | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Partick | Ayr |
|---|---|---|
| Morton | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Arbroath | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Airdrieonians | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Dunfermline | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Ross County | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Partick (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Partick
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 19 | 3 | D |
| 21/08 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 07/08 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Morton Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Airdrieonians Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 11/04 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 04/04 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 27/03 | Ross County Scotland Championship |
3-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
Ayr
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Morton Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 01/05 | St Johnstone Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Airdrieonians Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Ross County Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 07/04 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Partick vs Ayr?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Partick win (55%). Probabilities: Partick 55%, draw 26%, Ayr 18%.
How many goals are expected in Partick vs Ayr?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Partick 1.52 · Ayr 0.75), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Partick vs Ayr?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.