Football · Scotland Championship · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: Partick vs Raith

Team pages: Partick · Raith

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.1Total
Partick1.22
Raith0.88
1X2
44% 30% 26%
Partick Draw Raith
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Partick 4-6-0 (W-D-L)
DWDDDWWDDW
Raith 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WLLWDWWLWW
Head-to-head
Partick 2–2–2 Raith (6 last)
  • Raith0-2Partick
  • Partick0-0Raith
  • Raith2-0Partick
  • Partick3-2Raith
  • Partick0-0Raith
  • Raith3-0Partick
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Partick 1568 · Raith 1574
PartickDrawRaith
Our model43%32%25%
Market45%28%27%
Estimated total (ours) 2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PartickRaith
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.51.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.10.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 6.51.7 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.13.7 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Partick 222 Raith

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/03/26
Scotland Championship
Raith0-2
HT 0-1
Partick
20/12/25
Scotland Championship
Partick0-0
HT 0-0
Raith
25/10/25
Scotland Championship
Raith2-0
HT 0-0
Partick
30/08/25
Scotland Championship
Partick3-2
HT 2-2
Raith
21/03/25
Scotland Championship
Partick0-0
HT 0-0
Raith
15/02/25
Scotland Championship
Raith3-0
HT 2-0
Partick

Standings · Scotland Championship

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Raith 6411 11313
2 Stenhousemuir 5410 9213
3 Partick 5320 5111
4 Livingston 6303 859
5 Dunfermline 6231 549
6 Arbroath 6222 488
7 Inverness CT 6132 576
8 Ayr 6123 585
9 Queen's Park 6114 394
10 Morton 6015 4121

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPartickRaith
Ayr 1-0 W 2-0 W
Queen's Park 0-0 D 2-1 W
Inverness CT 1-1 D 2-0 W
Arbroath 0-0 D 4-0 W
Dunfermline 2-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 0 L 4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Raith (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Partick

DWDDDWWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Ayr
Scotland Championship
1-0 1-0 55 W
29/08 Queen's Park
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 193 D
21/08 Inverness CT
Scotland Championship
1-0 1-1 33 D
07/08 Livingston
Scotland Championship
2-0 2-0 94 W
01/08 Morton
Scotland Championship
0-0 1-0 15 W
01/05 Queen's Park
Scotland Championship
1-0 1-1 81 D
25/04 Arbroath
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 31 D
18/04 Airdrieonians
Scotland Championship
0-1 2-2 68 D
11/04 Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
2-0 2-0 50 W
04/04 Ayr
Scotland Championship
0-0 1-1 68 D

Raith

WLLWDWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Arbroath
Scotland Championship
3-0 4-0 63 W
05/09 Inverness CT
Scotland Championship
1-0 2-0 43 W
28/08 Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-1 33 L
22/08 Ayr
Scotland Championship
2-0 2-0 54 W
08/08 Queen's Park
Scotland Championship
1-0 2-1 24 W
01/08 Stenhousemuir
Scotland Championship
1-1 1-1 44 D
01/05 Ross County
Scotland Championship
0-1 3-2 52 W
24/04 St Johnstone
Scotland Championship
0-2 0-2 06 L
18/04 Arbroath
Scotland Championship
0-1 1-2 25 L
14/04 Queen's Park
Scotland Championship
1-0 2-0 86 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Partick vs Raith?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Partick win (44%). Probabilities: Partick 44%, draw 30%, Raith 26%.

How many goals are expected in Partick vs Raith?

The model expects 2.1 goals (Partick 1.22 · Raith 0.88), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Partick vs Raith?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.