Football · Scotland Championship · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Queen's Park vs Partick

Team pages: Queen's Park · Partick

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

Queen's Park0.65

Partick1.86

1X2

12% 22% 66%

Queen's Park Draw Partick

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Queen's Park 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

DWLLLLWLLL

Partick 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWLDWWWDWL

Head-to-head

Queen's Park 0–3–3 Partick (6 last)

Partick0-0Queen's Park
Partick1-1Queen's Park
Queen's Park2-2Partick
Partick5-0Queen's Park
Queen's Park0-1Partick
Queen's Park0-2Partick

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Queen's Park 1434 · Partick 1535

	Queen's Park	Draw	Partick
Our model	11%	23%	65%
Market	13%	21%	67%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Partick (rating 1434 vs 1535).
H2H favours Partick: 3-3-0.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Queen's Park	Partick
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.6	1.3 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.2	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.6	4.1 / 7.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

17.00

X4.33

21.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)2.00

2 (-1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.00 → 7.00	Pinn 7.37
X	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.92 ★
2	1.33 → 1.33	Pinn 1.37

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4% Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:21 +6’	7.00	4.33	1.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
23:24 +64’	7.37	4.92	1.37

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Queen's Park 0–3–3 Partick

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Scotland Championship	Partick	0-0 HT 0-0	Queen's Park
01/05/26 Scotland Championship	Partick	1-1 HT 1-0	Queen's Park
27/12/25 Scotland Championship	Queen's Park	2-2 HT 1-2	Partick
01/11/25 Scotland Championship	Partick	5-0 HT 2-0	Queen's Park
30/09/25 Scotland Championship	Queen's Park	0-1 HT 0-1	Partick
11/03/25 Scotland Championship	Queen's Park	0-2 HT 0-1	Partick

Standings · Scotland Championship

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Partick	13	7	4	2	17	7	25
2	Raith	13	7	3	3	20	9	24
3	Dunfermline	13	6	6	1	15	7	24
4	Stenhousemuir	13	7	2	4	13	12	23
5	Livingston	13	6	2	5	18	11	20
6	Inverness CT	13	5	4	4	17	16	19
7	Ayr	12	4	3	5	13	14	15
8	Arbroath	13	3	2	8	7	22	11
9	Morton	12	3	1	8	12	20	10
10	Queen's Park	13	2	1	10	8	22	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Queen's Park	Partick
Ayr	2-3 L	1-0 W
Dunfermline	0-1 L	1-1 D
Morton	0-2 L	2-3 L
Raith	0-2 L	0-0 D
Arbroath	1-2 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Partick (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Queen's Park

DWLLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Ayr Scotland Championship	0-1	2-3	2	5	L
24/10	Dunfermline Scotland Championship	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
17/10	Morton Scotland Championship	0-2	0-2	3	7	L
13/10	Inverness CT Scotland Championship	2-1	2-1	5	2	W
10/10	Raith Scotland Championship	0-1	0-2	4	9	L
25/09	Arbroath Scotland Championship	0-2	1-2	9	4	L
18/09	Ayr Scotland Championship	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
12/09	Dunfermline Scotland Championship	0-2	0-2	9	6	L
05/09	Morton Scotland Championship	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
29/08	Partick Scotland Championship	0-0	0-0	2	3	D

Partick

DWLDWWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Morton Scotland Championship	2-1	2-3	3	5	L
24/10	Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship	2-0	3-0	5	1	W
20/10	Dunfermline Scotland Championship	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
16/10	Ayr Scotland Championship	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
10/10	Livingston Scotland Championship	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
03/10	Arbroath Scotland Championship	2-0	3-0	9	2	W
19/09	Raith Scotland Championship	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
15/09	Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship	0-0	0-1	12	5	L
05/09	Ayr Scotland Championship	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
29/08	Queen's Park Scotland Championship	0-0	0-0	19	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Queen's Park vs Partick?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Partick win (66%). Probabilities: Queen's Park 12%, draw 22%, Partick 66%.

How many goals are expected in Queen's Park vs Partick?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Queen's Park 0.65 · Partick 1.86), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Queen's Park vs Partick?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.