Football · Scotland Championship · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Inverness CT vs Livingston

Team pages: Inverness CT · Livingston

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Inverness CT1.38
Livingston1.35
1X2
37% 28% 35%
Inverness CT Draw Livingston
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Inverness CT 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LLWDWWLWWL
Livingston 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LLWDWLLDWW
Head-to-head
Inverness CT 4–2–0 Livingston (6 last)
  • Livingston2-2Inverness CT
  • Livingston2-2Inverness CT
  • Livingston0-3Inverness CT
  • Livingston1-2Inverness CT
  • Inverness CT1-0Livingston
  • Livingston0-1Inverness CT
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inverness CT 1519 · Livingston 1513
Inverness CTDrawLivingston
Our model37%28%35%
Market37%28%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Inverness CT: 4-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Inverness CTLivingston
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.51.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.60.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/0/40%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 5.22.5 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 04.1 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Inverness CT 4–2–0 Livingston

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/09/26
Scotland Championship
Livingston2-2
HT 1-0
Inverness CT
12/10/24
Scotland League Challenge Cup
Livingston2-2
HT 2-2
Inverness CT
11/02/23
Scotland FA Cup
Livingston0-3
HT 0-0
Inverness CT
12/07/22
Scotland League Cup
Livingston1-2
HT 0-1
Inverness CT
08/02/20
Scotland FA Cup
Inverness CT1-0
HT 0-0
Livingston
24/04/18
Scotland Championship
Livingston0-1
HT 0-0
Inverness CT

Standings · Scotland Championship

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Partick 13742 17725
2 Raith 13733 20924
3 Dunfermline 13661 15724
4 Stenhousemuir 13724 131223
5 Livingston 13625 181120
6 Inverness CT 13544 171619
7 Ayr 12435 131415
8 Arbroath 13328 72211
9 Morton 12318 122010
10 Queen's Park 132110 8227

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentInverness CTLivingston
Dunfermline 1-5 L 0-0 D
Raith 2-0 W 2-0 W
Arbroath 2-0 W 1-0 W
Stenhousemuir 2-0 W 3-0 W
Morton 2-0 W 4-1 W
Ayr 3-1 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 1 L 4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Livingston (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inverness CT

LLWDWWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
1-0 1-5 15 L
24/10 Raith
Scotland Championship
2-0 2-0 34 W
17/10 Arbroath
Scotland Championship
2-0 2-0 91 W
13/10 Queen's Park
Scotland Championship
1-2 1-2 112 L
10/10 Stenhousemuir
Scotland Championship
2-0 2-0 46 W
25/09 Morton
Scotland Championship
1-0 2-0 73 W
19/09 Livingston
Scotland Championship
0-1 2-2 43 D
12/09 Ayr
Scotland Championship
2-1 3-1 54 W
05/09 Raith
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-2 23 L
29/08 Stenhousemuir
Scotland Championship
0-1 1-3 65 L

Livingston

LLWDWLLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/10 Stenhousemuir
Scotland Championship
2-0 3-0 52 W
24/10 Arbroath
Scotland Championship
0-0 1-0 46 W
17/10 Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 45 D
10/10 Partick
Scotland Championship
1-1 1-2 74 L
03/10 Ayr
Scotland Championship
1-2 1-2 107 L
25/09 Raith
Scotland Championship
0-0 2-0 25 W
19/09 Inverness CT
Scotland Championship
1-0 2-2 03 D
11/09 Morton
Scotland Championship
2-0 4-1 62 W
04/09 Stenhousemuir
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-1 55 L
29/08 Arbroath
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-1 46 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inverness CT vs Livingston?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Inverness CT win (37%). Probabilities: Inverness CT 37%, draw 28%, Livingston 35%.

How many goals are expected in Inverness CT vs Livingston?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Inverness CT 1.38 · Livingston 1.35), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Inverness CT vs Livingston?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.