Prediction: Livingston vs Morton
Team pages: Livingston · Morton
- Morton1-4Livingston
- Morton1-2Livingston
- Livingston3-2Morton
- Morton0-0Livingston
- Livingston2-1Morton
- Livingston1-1Morton
| Livingston | Draw | Morton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 22% | 13% |
| Market | 66% | 20% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Livingston (rating 1543 vs 1479).
- H2H favours Livingston: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Livingston | Morton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.5 | 2.1 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Livingston 4–2–0 Morton
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/26 Scotland Championship | Morton | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Livingston |
| 12/04/25 Scotland Championship | Morton | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Livingston |
| 25/02/25 Scotland Championship | Livingston | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Morton |
| 07/12/24 Scotland Championship | Morton | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Livingston |
| 12/11/24 Scotland League Challenge Cup | Livingston | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Morton |
| 24/08/24 Scotland Championship | Livingston | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Morton |
Standings · Scotland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 28 |
| 2 | Raith | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 25 |
| 3 | Dunfermline | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stenhousemuir | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 23 |
| 5 | Livingston | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 21 |
| 6 | Inverness CT | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 20 |
| 7 | Ayr | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 15 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 14 |
| 9 | Morton | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 13 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 23 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Livingston | Morton |
|---|---|---|
| Inverness CT | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Stenhousemuir | 3-0 W | 4-3 W |
| Arbroath | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Dunfermline | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Partick | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Ayr | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Raith | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Livingston (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Livingston
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 30/10 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 24/10 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/10 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Partick Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 03/10 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 25/09 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | Morton Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
Morton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
2-2 | 4-3 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 31/10 | Partick Scotland Championship |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/10 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 10/10 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 25/09 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 11/09 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Livingston vs Morton?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Livingston win (66%). Probabilities: Livingston 66%, draw 20%, Morton 14%.
How many goals are expected in Livingston vs Morton?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Livingston 2.11 · Morton 0.86), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Livingston vs Morton?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.