Football · Scotland Championship · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Partick vs Inverness CT

Team pages: Partick · Inverness CT

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Partick1.62

Inverness CT1.02

1X2

51% 26% 23%

Partick Draw Inverness CT

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Partick 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWDWLW

Inverness CT 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWWLWWLD

Head-to-head

Partick 2–4–0 Inverness CT (6 last)

Inverness CT1-1Partick
Partick3-3Inverness CT
Partick3-2Inverness CT
Partick1-0Inverness CT
Inverness CT3-3Partick
Partick1-1Inverness CT

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Partick 1565 · Inverness CT 1538

	Partick	Draw	Inverness CT
Our model	50%	27%	23%
Market	51%	25%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Partick: 2-4-0.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Partick	Inverness CT
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.6	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 6.6	3.1 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.60

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Pinn 1.88 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 3.94

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:28 +1’	1.75	3.60	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:01 +28’	1.79	3.75	4.20
08:54 +32’	1.90▲	3.60▼	3.86▼
09:50 +33’	1.88▼	3.60	3.94▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Partick 2–4–0 Inverness CT

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/08/26 Scotland Championship	Inverness CT	1-1 HT 0-1	Partick
13/01/26 Scotland League Challenge Cup	Partick	3-3 HT 1-2	Inverness CT
01/07/25 UK Friendlies	Partick	3-2 HT 0-2	Inverness CT
30/03/24 Scotland Championship	Partick	1-0 HT 1-0	Inverness CT
17/02/24 Scotland Championship	Inverness CT	3-3 HT 1-0	Partick
23/12/23 Scotland Championship	Partick	1-1 HT 1-1	Inverness CT

Standings · Scotland Championship

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Partick	14	8	4	2	18	7	28
2	Raith	14	7	4	3	20	9	25
3	Dunfermline	14	6	7	1	15	7	25
4	Stenhousemuir	14	7	2	5	16	16	23
5	Livingston	14	6	3	5	19	12	21
6	Inverness CT	14	5	5	4	18	17	20
7	Ayr	13	4	3	6	14	18	15
8	Arbroath	14	4	2	8	11	23	14
9	Morton	13	4	1	8	16	23	13
10	Queen's Park	14	2	1	11	8	23	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Partick	Inverness CT
Queen's Park	1-0 W	1-2 L
Morton	2-3 L	2-0 W
Stenhousemuir	3-0 W	2-0 W
Dunfermline	1-1 D	1-5 L
Ayr	1-0 W	3-1 W
Livingston	2-1 W	1-1 D
Arbroath	3-0 W	2-0 W
Raith	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Partick (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Partick

WLDWWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Queen's Park Scotland Championship	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
31/10	Morton Scotland Championship	2-1	2-3	3	5	L
24/10	Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship	2-0	3-0	5	1	W
20/10	Dunfermline Scotland Championship	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
16/10	Ayr Scotland Championship	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
10/10	Livingston Scotland Championship	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
03/10	Arbroath Scotland Championship	2-0	3-0	9	2	W
19/09	Raith Scotland Championship	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
15/09	Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship	0-0	0-1	12	5	L
05/09	Ayr Scotland Championship	1-0	1-0	5	5	W

Inverness CT

LWDWWLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Livingston Scotland Championship	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
31/10	Dunfermline Scotland Championship	1-0	1-5	1	5	L
24/10	Raith Scotland Championship	2-0	2-0	3	4	W
17/10	Arbroath Scotland Championship	2-0	2-0	9	1	W
13/10	Queen's Park Scotland Championship	1-2	1-2	11	2	L
10/10	Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship	2-0	2-0	4	6	W
25/09	Morton Scotland Championship	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
19/09	Livingston Scotland Championship	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
12/09	Ayr Scotland Championship	2-1	3-1	5	4	W
05/09	Raith Scotland Championship	0-1	0-2	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Partick vs Inverness CT?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Partick win (51%). Probabilities: Partick 51%, draw 26%, Inverness CT 23%.

How many goals are expected in Partick vs Inverness CT?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Partick 1.62 · Inverness CT 1.02), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Partick vs Inverness CT?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.