Prediction: Stenhousemuir vs Queen's Park
Team pages: Stenhousemuir · Queen's Park
- Queen's Park0-2Stenhousemuir
- Stenhousemuir1-3Queen's Park
- Queen's Park3-1Stenhousemuir
- Stenhousemuir0-0Queen's Park
- Queen's Park2-1Stenhousemuir
- Stenhousemuir0-3Queen's Park
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Queen's Park | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 29% | 21% |
| Market | 51% | 26% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stenhousemuir (rating 1498 vs 1415).
- H2H favours Queen's Park: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stenhousemuir | Queen's Park | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 0.7 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.3 | 2.1 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 5.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stenhousemuir 1–1–4 Queen's Park
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/26 Scotland Championship | Queen's Park | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Stenhousemuir |
| 10/04/21 Scotland League Two | Stenhousemuir | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Queen's Park |
| 28/11/20 Scotland League Two | Queen's Park | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Stenhousemuir |
| 07/03/20 Scotland League Two | Stenhousemuir | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Queen's Park |
| 04/01/20 Scotland League Two | Queen's Park | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Stenhousemuir |
| 02/11/19 Scotland League Two | Stenhousemuir | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Queen's Park |
Standings · Scotland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 28 |
| 2 | Raith | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 25 |
| 3 | Dunfermline | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stenhousemuir | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 23 |
| 5 | Livingston | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 21 |
| 6 | Inverness CT | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 20 |
| 7 | Ayr | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 15 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 14 |
| 9 | Morton | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 13 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 23 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stenhousemuir | Queen's Park |
|---|---|---|
| Morton | 3-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Dunfermline | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Partick | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Raith | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Inverness CT | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Ayr | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Arbroath | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Stenhousemuir (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stenhousemuir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Morton Scotland Championship |
2-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 30/10 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/10 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 24/10 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/10 | Raith Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 25/09 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 15/09 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 04/09 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Queen's Park
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 31/10 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/10 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Morton Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 13/10 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 25/09 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 18/09 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Morton Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stenhousemuir vs Queen's Park?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stenhousemuir win (51%). Probabilities: Stenhousemuir 51%, draw 27%, Queen's Park 22%.
How many goals are expected in Stenhousemuir vs Queen's Park?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Stenhousemuir 1.48 · Queen's Park 0.89), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Stenhousemuir vs Queen's Park?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.