Football · Scotland Premiership · 30/08, 13:00

Prediction: Aberdeen vs Rangers

Team pages: Aberdeen · Rangers

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
Aberdeen1.2
Rangers1.89
1X2
23% 25% 52%
Aberdeen Draw Rangers
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Aberdeen 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
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Rangers 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Aberdeen 0–1–5 Rangers (6 last)
  • Rangers4-1Aberdeen
  • Aberdeen0-2Rangers
  • Rangers2-0Aberdeen
  • Rangers4-0Aberdeen
  • Aberdeen2-2Rangers
  • Rangers3-0Aberdeen
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aberdeen 1545 · Rangers 1539
AberdeenDrawRangers
Our model23%25%52%
Market23%25%52%
Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Rangers: 5-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AberdeenRangers
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.62.6 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.61 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/0/50%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 4.13.3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.33.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Aberdeen 015 Rangers

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/03/26
Scotland Premiership
Rangers4-1
HT 1-0
Aberdeen
11/01/26
Scotland Premiership
Aberdeen0-2
HT 0-1
Rangers
06/01/26
Scotland Premiership
Rangers2-0
HT 2-0
Aberdeen
11/05/25
Scotland Premiership
Rangers4-0
HT 0-0
Aberdeen
13/04/25
Scotland Premiership
Aberdeen2-2
HT 2-0
Rangers
15/01/25
Scotland Premiership
Rangers3-0
HT 1-0
Aberdeen

Standings · Scotland Premiership

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Celtic 2200 616
2 Dundee 3201 416
3 St Mirren 2200 306
4 Motherwell 2110 214
5 Hearts 2101 523
6 St Johnstone 2101 443
7 Hibernian 2101 333
8 Aberdeen 2101 233
9 Rangers 2011 231
10 Falkirk 2011 021
11 Dundee Utd 3012 171
12 Kilmarnock 2002 490

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAberdeenRangers
Hearts 2-1 W 1-2 L
Dundee Utd 2-0 W 1-1 D
Hibernian 2-0 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Aberdeen (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aberdeen

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Dundee
Scotland Premiership
0-1 0-2 44 L
01/08 Hearts
Scotland Premiership
0-1 2-1 46 W
17/05 Dundee
Scotland Premiership
2-1 2-3 20 L
12/05 St Mirren
Scotland Premiership
0-1 0-2 63 L
09/05 Dundee Utd
Scotland Premiership
1-0 2-0 46 W
01/05 Livingston
Scotland Premiership
1-0 2-2 34 D
25/04 Kilmarnock
Scotland Premiership
1-0 1-0 65 W
11/04 Hibernian
Scotland Premiership
1-0 2-0 35 W
04/04 St Mirren
Scotland Premiership
0-1 0-2 54 L
21/03 Rangers
Scotland Premiership
0-1 1-4 44 L

Rangers

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Hibernian
Scotland Premiership
0-1 1-2 72 L
31/07 Dundee Utd
Scotland Premiership
0-1 1-1 104 D
16/05 Falkirk
Scotland Premiership
3-2 5-2 43 W
13/05 Hibernian
Scotland Premiership
1-1 1-2 94 L
10/05 Celtic
Scotland Premiership
1-1 1-3 78 L
04/05 Hearts
Scotland Premiership
1-0 1-2 63 L
26/04 Motherwell
Scotland Premiership
0-2 2-3 72 L
12/04 Falkirk
Scotland Premiership
1-2 6-3 16 W
04/04 Dundee Utd
Scotland Premiership
2-1 4-2 103 W
21/03 Aberdeen
Scotland Premiership
1-0 4-1 24 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aberdeen vs Rangers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rangers win (52%). Probabilities: Aberdeen 23%, draw 25%, Rangers 52%.

How many goals are expected in Aberdeen vs Rangers?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Aberdeen 1.2 · Rangers 1.89), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Aberdeen vs Rangers?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.