Prediction: Rangers vs Kilmarnock
Team pages: Rangers · Kilmarnock
- Rangers5-1Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock0-3Rangers
- Rangers3-1Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock2-4Rangers
- Rangers6-0Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock1-0Rangers
| Rangers | Draw | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 81% | 13% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rangers (rating 1608 vs 1478).
- H2H favours Rangers: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rangers | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 7.2 | 1.9 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rangers 5–0–1 Kilmarnock
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/26 Scotland Premiership | Rangers | 5-1 HT 1-0 | Kilmarnock |
| 06/12/25 Scotland Premiership | Kilmarnock | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Rangers |
| 26/10/25 Scotland Premiership | Rangers | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Kilmarnock |
| 26/02/25 Scotland Premiership | Kilmarnock | 2-4 HT 2-1 | Rangers |
| 04/12/24 Scotland Premiership | Rangers | 6-0 HT 1-0 | Kilmarnock |
| 20/10/24 Scotland Premiership | Kilmarnock | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Rangers |
Standings · Scotland Premiership
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Hearts | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Dundee | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | St Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 6 | St Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 8 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
| 9 | Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
| 10 | Hibernian | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rangers | Kilmarnock |
|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 1-0 W | 1-5 L |
| St Mirren | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Aberdeen | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Hibernian | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Dundee Utd | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Rangers (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rangers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 09/09 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 02/09 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 09/08 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 31/07 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Falkirk Scotland Premiership |
3-2 | 5-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
Kilmarnock
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 15/09 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 02/09 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | St Johnstone Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Livingston Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rangers win (80%). Probabilities: Rangers 80%, draw 14%, Kilmarnock 6%.
How many goals are expected in Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
The model expects 3.48 goals (Rangers 2.74 · Kilmarnock 0.74), with a 56% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.