Prediction: Raith vs Queen's Park
Team pages: Raith · Queen's Park
- Queen's Park1-2Raith
- Queen's Park0-2Raith
- Queen's Park1-1Raith
- Raith4-1Queen's Park
- Queen's Park2-1Raith
- Raith1-1Queen's Park
| Raith | Draw | Queen's Park | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 25% | 14% |
| Market | 62% | 24% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Raith (rating 1561 vs 1407).
- H2H favours Raith: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Raith | Queen's Park | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 4 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Raith 3–2–1 Queen's Park
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 Scotland Championship | Queen's Park | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Raith |
| 14/04/26 Scotland Championship | Queen's Park | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Raith |
| 27/01/26 Scotland League Challenge Cup | Queen's Park | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Raith |
| 24/01/26 Scotland Championship | Raith | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Queen's Park |
| 08/11/25 Scotland Championship | Queen's Park | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Raith |
| 02/08/25 Scotland Championship | Raith | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Queen's Park |
Standings · Scotland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 22 |
| 2 | Raith | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Partick | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
| 4 | Livingston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 13 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Ayr | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| 7 | Arbroath | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 11 |
| 8 | Inverness CT | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
| 10 | Morton | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Raith | Queen's Park |
|---|---|---|
| Morton | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Livingston | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Partick | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Arbroath | 4-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Dunfermline | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Ayr | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Stenhousemuir | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Raith (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raith
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Morton Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/09 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | Ross County Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
Queen's Park
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 18/09 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Morton Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Raith vs Queen's Park?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Raith win (61%). Probabilities: Raith 61%, draw 24%, Queen's Park 15%.
How many goals are expected in Raith vs Queen's Park?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Raith 1.81 · Queen's Park 0.77), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Raith vs Queen's Park?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.