Prediction: Inverness CT vs Arbroath
Team pages: Inverness CT · Arbroath
- Arbroath0-0Inverness CT
- Inverness CT3-0Arbroath
- Arbroath3-0Inverness CT
- Inverness CT0-2Arbroath
- Arbroath1-0Inverness CT
- Inverness CT0-0Arbroath
| Inverness CT | Draw | Arbroath | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 25% | 15% |
| Market | 61% | 24% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Arbroath: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Inverness CT | Arbroath | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.6 | 1.8 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Inverness CT 1–2–3 Arbroath
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 Scotland Championship | Arbroath | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Inverness CT |
| 26/04/25 Scotland League One | Inverness CT | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Arbroath |
| 08/02/25 Scotland League One | Arbroath | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Inverness CT |
| 14/12/24 Scotland League One | Inverness CT | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Arbroath |
| 05/10/24 Scotland League One | Arbroath | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Inverness CT |
| 23/07/24 Scotland League Cup | Inverness CT | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Arbroath |
Standings · Scotland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 22 |
| 2 | Raith | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Partick | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 18 |
| 4 | Livingston | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 13 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Inverness CT | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 13 |
| 7 | Ayr | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 11 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 7 |
| 10 | Morton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Inverness CT | Arbroath |
|---|---|---|
| Queen's Park | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Stenhousemuir | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Morton | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Livingston | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Ayr | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Raith | 0-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Partick | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Dunfermline | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Inverness CT (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inverness CT
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 25/09 | Morton Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
Arbroath
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Morton Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/09 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Morton Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inverness CT vs Arbroath?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Inverness CT win (60%). Probabilities: Inverness CT 60%, draw 24%, Arbroath 15%.
How many goals are expected in Inverness CT vs Arbroath?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Inverness CT 1.76 · Arbroath 0.77), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Inverness CT vs Arbroath?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.

