Football · Scotland Championship · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Inverness CT vs Arbroath

Team pages: Inverness CT · Arbroath

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Inverness CT1.76
Arbroath0.77
1X2
60% 24% 15%
Inverness CT Draw Arbroath
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Inverness CT 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DDDLLWDWWL
Arbroath 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LDWWDLLWLL
Head-to-head
Inverness CT 1–2–3 Arbroath (6 last)
  • Arbroath0-0Inverness CT
  • Inverness CT3-0Arbroath
  • Arbroath3-0Inverness CT
  • Inverness CT0-2Arbroath
  • Arbroath1-0Inverness CT
  • Inverness CT0-0Arbroath
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inverness CT 1504 · Arbroath 1465
Inverness CTDrawArbroath
Our model60%25%15%
Market61%24%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Arbroath: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Inverness CTArbroath
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.10.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.70.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.61.8 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 03.1 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Inverness CT 1–2–3 Arbroath

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/08/26
Scotland Championship
Arbroath0-0
HT 0-0
Inverness CT
26/04/25
Scotland League One
Inverness CT3-0
HT 2-0
Arbroath
08/02/25
Scotland League One
Arbroath3-0
HT 2-0
Inverness CT
14/12/24
Scotland League One
Inverness CT0-2
HT 0-0
Arbroath
05/10/24
Scotland League One
Arbroath1-0
HT 0-0
Inverness CT
23/07/24
Scotland League Cup
Inverness CT0-0
HT 0-0
Arbroath

Standings · Scotland Championship

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Stenhousemuir 9711 12422
2 Raith 10622 15620
3 Partick 9531 10318
4 Livingston 10415 141113
5 Dunfermline 8341 7513
6 Inverness CT 10343 121113
7 Ayr 10334 101112
8 Arbroath 10325 71511
9 Queen's Park 10217 6167
10 Morton 10118 7184

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentInverness CTArbroath
Queen's Park 1-2 L 2-1 W
Stenhousemuir 2-0 W 0-1 L
Morton 2-0 W 1-2 L
Livingston 2-2 D 1-0 W
Ayr 3-1 W 0-2 L
Raith 0-2 L 0-4 L
Partick 1-1 D 0-3 L
Dunfermline 0-0 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 2 L 2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Inverness CT (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inverness CT

DDDLLWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/10 Queen's Park
Scotland Championship
1-2 1-2 112 L
10/10 Stenhousemuir
Scotland Championship
2-0 2-0 46 W
25/09 Morton
Scotland Championship
1-0 2-0 73 W
19/09 Livingston
Scotland Championship
0-1 2-2 43 D
12/09 Ayr
Scotland Championship
2-1 3-1 54 W
05/09 Raith
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-2 23 L
29/08 Stenhousemuir
Scotland Championship
0-1 1-3 65 L
21/08 Partick
Scotland Championship
0-1 1-1 53 D
08/08 Arbroath
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 76 D
01/08 Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 52 D

Arbroath

LDWWDLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Morton
Scotland Championship
0-1 1-2 35 L
03/10 Partick
Scotland Championship
0-2 0-3 42 L
25/09 Queen's Park
Scotland Championship
2-0 2-1 14 W
19/09 Stenhousemuir
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-1 45 L
12/09 Raith
Scotland Championship
0-3 0-4 13 L
05/09 Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
0-0 1-1 32 D
29/08 Livingston
Scotland Championship
0-0 1-0 26 W
22/08 Morton
Scotland Championship
1-0 2-1 63 W
08/08 Inverness CT
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 16 D
01/08 Ayr
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-2 70 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inverness CT vs Arbroath?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Inverness CT win (60%). Probabilities: Inverness CT 60%, draw 24%, Arbroath 15%.

How many goals are expected in Inverness CT vs Arbroath?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Inverness CT 1.76 · Arbroath 0.77), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Inverness CT vs Arbroath?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.