Prediction: Ayr vs Partick
- Partick1-0Ayr
- Ayr1-1Partick
- Partick2-1Ayr
- Ayr0-0Partick
- Partick2-1Ayr
- Partick2-0Ayr
| Ayr | Draw | Partick | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 31% | 47% |
| Market | 24% | 26% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Partick (rating 1467 vs 1552).
- H2H favours Partick: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ayr | Partick | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.3 | 4 / 8.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ayr 0–2–4 Partick
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/26 Scotland Championship | Partick | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ayr |
| 04/04/26 Scotland Championship | Ayr | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Partick |
| 24/01/26 Scotland Championship | Partick | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Ayr |
| 06/12/25 Scotland Championship | Ayr | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Partick |
| 21/10/25 Scotland Championship | Partick | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Ayr |
| 16/08/25 Scotland League Cup | Partick | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Ayr |
Standings · Scotland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 22 |
| 2 | Raith | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Partick | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 18 |
| 4 | Livingston | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 13 |
| 5 | Inverness CT | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 13 |
| 6 | Dunfermline | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Ayr | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 11 |
| 9 | Morton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 4 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ayr | Partick |
|---|---|---|
| Livingston | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Stenhousemuir | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Queen's Park | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Inverness CT | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Morton | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Raith | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Arbroath | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Partick (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ayr
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 03/10 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
2-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 25/09 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 18/09 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Morton Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
Partick
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 15/09 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 19 | 3 | D |
| 21/08 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 07/08 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Morton Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ayr vs Partick?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Partick win (49%). Probabilities: Ayr 23%, draw 29%, Partick 49%.
How many goals are expected in Ayr vs Partick?
The model expects 2.07 goals (Ayr 0.78 · Partick 1.29), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ayr vs Partick?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.